BAT embracing change

British American Tobacco’s chairman, Richard Burrows, was due today to tell the company’s Annual General Meeting that the industry was entering a dynamic period of change.
The AGM was due to start at 11.30 in London.
“An unprecedented confluence of technology, consumer demand, societal change and public health awareness has created a unique opportunity; the opportunity to make a substantial leap forward in our long-held ambition to provide consumers with less risky tobacco and nicotine choices,” he was quoted as saying in a note posted on the company’s website ahead of the meeting.
“The Group’s wide range of potentially less harmful products which provide the enjoyment of smoking without burning tobacco, means that your company is ideally positioned to further shape the future of the business during a period of profound change which can deliver benefits for: consumers, who will have a range of potentially safer choices; society, which could benefit from real progress in tobacco harm reduction; and shareholders, who will own a sustainable and profitable business.
“Our portfolio of potentially reduced-risk products includes next generation products, comprising vapor and tobacco heating products, as well as oral tobacco and nicotine products such as snus and moist snuff. These smokeless products offer genuine choices to consumers searching for alternatives to traditional cigarettes and form the centre piece of our strategy to transform tobacco – with the consumer at its core.
“Our commitment to this transformation is not new, but the progress we have made to date gives us confidence to set clear ambitions for the future. By the end of 2018 our objective is to more than double our revenue from next generation products to substantially more than £1 billion.
“Our tobacco heating product, glo, is already demonstrating this opportunity in Japan and has now grown to a 4.3 percent share of the total market, despite capacity constraints limiting the supply of heating devices. We remain confident that these constraints will be removed during Q2.
“Notwithstanding the good progress we are making with our potentially reduced-risk products, combustible products will remain at the core of our business for many years to come – delivering growth today and providing the funds required for investing in the future. I am therefore pleased that 2017 saw the Group deliver another good underlying performance illustrating its ongoing strength – delivering against our financial commitments while investing for the changing environment. The Group’s market share, revenue and profit all grew in 2017 and total Group cigarette and tobacco heating product volume grew 3.2 percent to 686 billion while the industry was estimated to have declined by around 3.5 percent.
“The Group’s approach of placing the consumer at the centre of its strategy, along with a multicategory portfolio of products designed to address their varying preferences, ensures that our business is in an even stronger position to deliver long-term, sustainable growth. We are the only company growing share in all key product categories – in vapor, tobacco heating, oral tobacco and combustible cigarettes.”
Turning to 2018, Burrows was quoted as saying that foreign currency exchange rates were a headwind for the business this year. “If rates were to stay at current levels, the Group would face a translational foreign exchange headwind of seven percent on organic operating profit and eight percent on earnings per share,” he was expected to tell the AGM. “As previously announced, mainly due to volume shipment phasing and pricing in certain markets, including the GCC and Russia, profit growth is expected to be skewed to the second half.
“Given the success of the next generation product portfolio, the Group has decided to further increase investment plans behind next generation products during 2018, with a significant number of roll-outs and launches planned towards the end of Q3. And although trading conditions remain challenging, the Group remains on track for another good year of earnings growth, excluding the impact of currency translation…”