Category: Print Edition

  • Modest markets

    Modest markets

    Tobacco consumption is growing in Laos and Cambodia, but not at the rates that were once common in Southeast Asia.

    By Shane MacGuill

    Tobacco advertising has been severely restricted in Cambodia. Billboards such as these are no longer permitted.

    Cambodia and Laos are routinely regarded as frontier markets for the tobacco industry, primed to deliver substantial growth. New research from Euromonitor International shows that while both are forecast to experience vertiginous volume growth relative to developed markets, the narrative is not one of uncomplicated expansion. Currently, sales in each market are below 10 billion sticks annually.

    Continuing affordability, driven by growing disposable incomes, is countered by tightening anti-tobacco legislation and decreasing social acceptability of smoking. As in other markets, smoking prevalence in Cambodia and Laos is closely correlated with income and education level. In each country, low-income men and rural men not only have lower average education levels but are considerably more likely to smoke than their wealthier and urban counterparts. Similarly, low-income women and rural women are more likely to use chewing tobacco in comparison with other Cambodian and Laotian women.

    For low-income consumers, whether in urban or rural areas, price is the main factor influencing purchasing decisions. These consumers generally buy economy cigarettes and are more likely to buy individual sticks rather than packs. Low-income men are also most likely to buy illicit cigarettes, whether smuggled or domestically produced, and to smoke bidis (leaf-wrapped tobacco). Low-income women rarely smoke, but many chew tobacco mixtures wrapped in betel leaves. Extensive tobacco cultivation in both Laos and Cambodia means that ordinary consumers can generally access unpackaged tobacco at low prices. Many low-income tobacco users are, however, trading up to economy cigarettes as disposable income levels rise.

    Cigarettes and tobacco products are widely accessible in both markets, being sold on virtually every street. Despite growing competition from modern grocery retail, independent small grocers are by a considerable distance the most significant distribution channel, due to their widespread presence, accounting for around a third and a half of 2016 cigarette retail volume sales in Cambodia and Laos respectively. These are often the only outlets in rural areas, which are home to the vast majority of the population.

    Street vendors are also significant, accounting for close to a fifth of 2016 cigarette retail volumes in each market. This channel is seeing some share loss due to consumers’ concerns over counterfeiting and smuggled cigarettes. However, both independent small grocers and street vendors continue to attract many due to their economy product-focused portfolios and their willingness to sell cigarettes by the stick (which is illegal).

    The tobacco control framework in each country is now restrictive in an international context, and both nations have recently updated their legislation. Cambodia’s 2015 Tobacco Control Law drastically limited the distribution of tobacco products, banning sale in certain institutions and retail channels and restricting display in all other outlets. The law also introduced mandatory graphic health warnings, a public smoking ban (enforced from September 2016) and prohibitions on the advertising and promotion of tobacco. Interestingly, the law also includes a provision prohibiting the sale of tobacco products to visibly pregnant women.

    Shane MacGuill is head of tobacco research at Euromonitor International.

    In 2016, in Laos the government updated and strengthened its 2009 Tobacco Control Act, intensifying the use of health warnings, extending the public smoking ban and further restricting marketing of tobacco. The amendment made graphic health messaging mandatory, with warnings required to cover 75 percent of tobacco packaging. This amendment was originally set to come into force in October 2016. However, enforcement was subsequently postponed to May 1, 2017, to allow producers to use up packaging stocks. A request by the tobacco industry to reduce the minimum warning size to 50 percent was summarily refused by the government.

    Despite the relative restrictiveness of regulation in other areas, there is no legal limit on cigarette tar levels in either market. The tar levels of local brands such A Deng (Laos) and Ara (Cambodia) are high by international standards. Even in the absence of such restrictions, Laos’ updated Tobacco Control Act bans the use of “misleading” terms such as “light” and “mild.”

    In both markets, low levels of tobacco-specific excise contribute to low pack prices. The Cambodian government, however, has increased excise duty on cigarettes in recent years. Following slight increases in 2014 and 2015, cigarette excise duty jumped from 15 percent to 20 percent in April 2016.

    While excise increases in recent years appear to have had an impact on domestic illicit consumption (edging upward to around 7 percent of the market), Cambodia’s low pack prices make it a source rather than a destination of illegal tobacco. The brands Jet and Hero are central among those moving illegally from Cambodia into Vietnam and other proximate markets.

    In 2001, the Laotian National Committee for Planning and Investments signed a 25-year investment license agreement with local tobacco producers. This set excise duty at just 15 percent for cigarettes with a production cost of less than lak1,500 ($0.18) and 30 percent for those with production costs above this level. With domestic manufacturers focusing on economy products, these fall into the lower tax band. Domestic producers also pay the state 15 percent of production cost as a royalty fee.

    On the back of increased enforcement at the borders and rising disposable income, levels of illicit consumption in Laos declined to 8 percent of total tobacco consumption in 2016—half the level of 2013.

    In Cambodia, there are two strong leaders in cigarettes, with British American Tobacco (BAT) and Huotraco International accounting for 32 percent and 31 percent total volume shares respectively in 2016. BAT benefits primarily from the strength of its Ara brand, which has a long history in the country and is available at affordable prices. This brand thus has a strong appeal to low-income consumers, while also benefiting from its extensive rural distribution presence. Ara continued to gain share in 2016, thanks to its affordable pricing, although this was counterbalanced by a poor performance for the company’s higher-priced international brands.

    Huotraco is a subsidiary of Imperial Brands, which changed its name from Imperial Tobacco in 2016. Huotraco saw a strong performance for its affordable and domestically produced Fine brand in 2016, counterbalanced by a poor performance for Imperial’s international brands in Cambodia. Fine had been produced by a third party, Usine de Tabac du Cambodge (UTC), in recent years. However, this arrangement was discontinued in January 2017, with Imperial Brands taking full control over production. The brand maintained a consistent distribution presence following this shift and continued to see strong sales.

    In general terms, economy cigarettes are seeing the strongest performance in the market. As taxes and prices rise, many existing smokers are trading down to the most affordable brands. Conversely, some users of other tobacco products are accessing the cigarette category—that is, trading up—in this segment. Viniton’s Luxury, whose name belies its low price, particularly benefited from this trend and saw the strongest retail volume share gain of all brands in 2016.

    In Laos, meanwhile, Lao Tobacco is the dominant player in cigarettes, controlling about two thirds of the market. It gained share strongly in 2016, thanks to its affordable prices and growing demand from low-income consumers. Formed in 2001, the company is operated as a joint venture. While Imperial Brands is the majority shareholder and owns 53 percent of the company, the Laotian government and domestic investment company S3T are also shareholders. The company benefits from vertical integration, operating its own leaf processing factory, cigarette factory, and sales and marketing departments. It expanded production capacity between 2014–2016. Domestic supply of raw tobacco enables Lao Tobacco to maintain a low price point for its leading A Deng brand, in turn ensuring widespread demand in both rural and urban areas. Second-ranked Lao-China Hongta Good Luck Tobacco benefits from its long history in Laos, having been present since 1992 and operating a long-established and widespread distribution network.

    Domestically produced economy cigarettes are driving sales growth as disposable income levels continue to rise for low-income smokers. These are the main consumers of cigarettes and account for a growing share of sales, with price being the main factor behind their purchasing decisions. These consumers often prefer domestic brands, trusting these to offer reliable quality among concern about counterfeiting when buying imported brands. Because of declining demand for imported brands, the market has become increasingly consolidated in recent years.

    Looking forward, cigarette volume sales in each market are expected to record solid but far from stratospheric volume growth up to 2021. In Cambodia, further excise increases and enforcement of anti-smoking measures, such as the public smoking ban, are likely to restrain compound annual volume growth to about 1 percent between 2016 and 2021. The contradictory impacts of tax hikes and downtrading will see value brands expand at around the same rate in constant terms. Meanwhile, the Laotian government’s desire to reduce smoking prevalence and increase tobacco tax revenue is likely to be counterbalanced by the importance of the tobacco industry to Laos’ economy. The belief that higher taxation will result in a surge in illicit consumption is also pervasive. As a result, Euromonitor International expects compound annual volume growth of just under 2 percent between 2016 and 2021 with a commensurate growth in market value.

     

     

  • Smooth operator

    Smooth operator

    Advances in processes, materials and technologies are reducing requirements for spare parts.

    By George Gay


    Soon, virtual reality glasses may be aiding operators in machine maintenance.

    In publishing a magazine such as Tobacco Reporter, certain subjects are covered regularly—in some cases, on an annual basis; in others, more frequently. But perhaps it will soon be time to pension off one of these regular features, the one we refer to internally as “spares,” by which we refer to tobacco machinery replacement and wear parts.

    Why? Well the people at Aiger tell me that spare parts constitute a “nonsubject” these days. “In the past, there was clearly a spare parts dedicated activity that involved replacing wear-and-tear or standby parts,” said Arek Druzdzel, the company’s business development director. “Today, however, the quality of the parts has improved, thanks to new processes, materials and technologies. Reliability is much higher. Customers are willing to pay a bit more for machines that include advanced-technology, high-end, long-lifetime parts instead of having to manage inventory, machine shutdowns and spare parts replacement. In fact, today it is every supplier’s obligation to deliver products that are engineered in a way that guarantees low maintenance, reduced spare parts consumption and increased reliability.”

    Courtland Macduff, Aiger’s sales director for Asia, used an automobile analogy to drive home this point. “People don’t want to hear about spare parts,” he said. “They want us to engineer a solution so that they don’t have to replace parts as previously—like in the case of cars, where these days they’re serviced after 20,000 km, not after 2,000 km.”

    Interchangeability is one strategy that can be used to good effect in reducing the number of parts and the logistical issues that go hand in hand with them. “These days, machines use programmable drives rather than mechanical gearboxes to synchronize speeds and positions,” said Macduff. “And some special motors are driven by a programmable inverter. Now instead of having one dedicated inverter for each drive, it is possible to have an empty inverter that Aiger can, from a distance, load with a qualification logic that makes it functional for a particular part of the machine identified by the customer. We don’t have to deliver any spare parts; they don’t have to carry one of each.”

    Parts will not disappear entirely, of course. They will be part of service contracts between the machine supplier and the machine user, of which there will be many forms to suit different customer needs. And such contracts and the relationships that they engender between the machinery supplier and machinery user will probably tend to reduce the use of locally made parts. “What I see is that clients don’t want to use local parts with the new-technology machines,” said Macduff. “They want the [original equipment manufacturer] to provide a very special service.”

    Druzdzel acknowledged, however, that local manufacturing of machine parts was still happening and would probably happen in the future. But in the case of advanced-technology machines, this was not the way forward, he said. Aiger had invested in manufacturing parts so that they extended the service life and improved the performance of machines in a way that was beneficial to the customer. “To me, there is no way back from the progress that we have made into higher technologies and quality parts,” he said.

    Teleservice

    One service area Aiger is investigating covers a teleservice for distance diagnostics: troubleshooting by engineers based at Aiger’s plant in Plovdiv, Bulgaria, directly in a customer’s facility located almost anywhere in the world. Such a teleservice can embrace also distance training and maintenance supervision, for example, by webcam.

    “As we use more drives and programmable inverters/PCs, we sell directly through the net upload programs, new-configuration production specifications and dedicated drive function programs,” said Macduff. “Soon, instead of supplying a spare part to our customer, we will sell the key lock to have the part duplicated at the customer’s facility on a 3-D printer.”

    Such a system sounds like it manages to combine the advantages of quality spare parts and local manufacture, where there is no need for shipping and the delays involved in such activities. The question is, how far are we away from this? In theory, we’re there. In practice, there are still some matters to iron out. Firstly, the machine supplier and the machine user must be operating at similar advanced levels of technology.

    Aiger, for its part, is almost there. Well over 90 percent of the parts used in the company’s machines have been fully digitalized, said Druzdzel, which means the company’s systems contain 3-D models of just about all parts. And the process of digitalization is expected to be completed later this year, which means Aiger is on the threshold of being able to apply 3-D printing technology across the board.

    Of course, 3-D printing covers a range of technologies, and some technologies are more applicable to the tobacco machinery industry than are others. For instance, Druzdzel said, Advanced Manufacturing services included 3-D technology that allowed for printing hard, durable mechanical parts. It was at an early stage, but it was coming. And, as Macduff added, the advantages of machinery users not having to carry stocks of spare parts and of there being no handling issues were such that much pressure was likely to be applied to advancing the technology quickly.

    Of course, matters of timing would still arise, and administrative issues, some of them new, would have to be tackled. 3-D printing would not be an almost instantaneous process as it is when printing a document. With today’s technology, printing could take a couple of hours or so, depending on the complexity of the part and the materials used. And once the technology was in place at both the supplier’s and user’s premises, contracts would have to be drawn up to cover issues such as whether single- or multiple-use was covered. In addition, arrangements would have to be in place to pay for tariffs in those countries where import duties applied. Security, it seems, would not be unduly worrisome. Key lock systems come from banking and refer to safe—as safe as anything can be—data-transmission protocols that allow for sending digitized data.

    Developing relationships

    I wondered, however, whether, despite the best intentions of machinery suppliers, tobacco manufacturers wouldn’t have to carry even more parts in the future as their product portfolios expanded to include new-generation products. But Druzdzel said Aiger’s intention was the opposite; it was to reduce its customers’ spare parts stock holding. “Some spares are vital and a customer will carry them anyway, or [they] will have in place a reliable and fast supply, as Aiger offers with its fast-track contract,” he said. “Aiger offers also a spares supply program: a one-year supply program under which spare parts manufactured by Aiger are supplied at pre-defined time slots.”

    It is all about developing a service relationship that suits the customer. Under a fast-track contract, Aiger works very closely with customers’ maintenance teams. In this case, Aiger delivers parts according to an agreed schedule, and the customers’ engineers carry out the maintenance under the supervision of Aiger engineers “accessing” the machine through a webcam. This is said to be a way of ensuring that machines have the least possible downtime. When Aiger supervised a maintenance program by webcam, said Macduff, it guaranteed that on the day the customer stopped his machine, he would have a crate with everything needed to do the maintenance under supervision. This was where service came in and spare parts became integrated into a new area of business.

    Meanwhile, Druzdzel said it was essential for machinery suppliers to become smarter because some customers simply didn’t want to do anything with their machines. And this meant it was necessary to offer a complete contract that delivered machines with long-life parts and included a teleservice for diagnostics, service and stock management. All of this was possible as part of Aiger’s package of services.

    But this is not to say that the days of the peripatetic engineer are over. Druzdzel said that Aiger has a group of technicians who traveled around the world almost constantly. Sometimes visits were connected with normal installation services, sometimes with maintenance services.

    It is necessary to keep in mind, though, that as we head into the future, nothing is really “normal” anymore—nothing is going to stay the same. One of the next steps is probably going to see virtual reality glasses used as an aid in maintaining machinery. “Aiger is not far away from offering that level of service,” said Macduff.

     

  • Riding high

    Riding high

    Aiger Engineering thrives as new products continue to disrupt the traditional tobacco business. 

    By George Gay

    During an interview at the end of July, I asked Arek Druzdzel, Aiger Engineering’s business development director, if the tobacco machinery business had been tough in recent years, what with falling cigarette sales in many Western markets and much consolidation having taken place and still taking place within the tobacco manufacturing sector. His answer was illuminating. Yes, it had been tough, he said, but not for Aiger.

    Aiger had been the fastest-growing tobacco machinery supplier, with an average annual growth of 18 percent during the past three years, he said, and this year it was promising to deliver a sales growth of 20 percent. Aiger would double its size before 2020, he added.

    So, what is driving such growth? Ideas and their progeny: innovation. Indeed, Aiger says it is following a strategy aimed at positioning the company as the most innovative supplier of flexible machinery for the production of cigarette filters and cigarette packing, as well as the development of novel quality-assurance management systems, such as its Matrix Neo.

    But the ideas and innovation don’t stop with traditional tobacco machinery; they stretch out to include heat-not-burn (HNB) requirements and to imagine a future with other next-generation products.

    OK, every company says that it is innovative, but Aiger has some history in this respect. Aiger was formed 23 years ago, and Courtland Macduff, the company’s sales director for Asia, said that for most of its history the company had been working with multinationals on special projects—what he described as complex engineering projects. So there need be little surprise that in 2015 Aiger took home to its base in Plovdiv the award for Bulgaria’s most innovative company.

    Focus on innovation

    Perhaps something dynamic has built up in the air around Plovdiv, which has 8,000 years of history and which, from the end of the 19th century to World War II, was known unofficially as a tobacco city. In 2019 Plovdiv will enjoy being a European Capital of Culture, while today it is Bulgaria’s fastest-growing business, technology and economic center, attracting investment from international businesses and employing more than 100,000 people in the machinery and components sectors.

    Aiger employs about 220 people at its 7,000-square-meter Plovdiv production facility (about another 20 people are employed at the Aiger Group’s Swiss base) that is set on a site of about 18,000 square meters. It has a diversified workforce within which most of its employees are designers and engineers with master’s degrees, but that includes also assembly and installation engineers, as well as fitters because it produces most of its mechanical parts in-house. The company sources its qualified employees mainly from technical high schools and universities in Bulgaria, and, three years ago, it started its own internal education program called “Aiger Professor,” which is based on the German model of hands-on training during the education of young professionals.

    Aiger’s focus on innovation can be inferred from the fact that more than 50 of its employees are engineers working as part of R&D, mechanical, electrical and software teams. And, in turn, this focus on R&D and design reflects Aiger’s business, which is based on building customized, application-based equipment, including the types needed to produce specialty packs and complex cigarette filters.

    Such equipment includes also that needed for the manufacture of HNB product components. Already, Aiger supplies a number of pieces of equipment for HNB production lines, such as filter plug platform machines and modular packers. However, it has been involved also in R&D, design and production projects for HNB base filter plugs.

    Overall, Aiger supplies what it describes as a Flex-HNB-making platform—machinery elements into which a specific Flex platform has been integrated. “The benefit of using a proven process enables us to minimize industrial risks but mainly allows our customers to limit their investment risk by providing the possibility of reconfiguring machines to conventional equipment,” said Macduff.

    While it does not provide any equipment for the e-cigarette sector, which, unlike the HNB sector, includes no traditional tobacco industry elements, Druzdzel said that, as an engineering-to-order company, Aiger would look at such developments if there were a partner or customer to work with.

    Cross-fertilization

    Again, Aiger has history here—in this case working outside the field of tobacco—experience that has allowed it to benefit from a cross-fertilization of ideas and that could help it in coming to grips with the challenges of developing machinery to manufacture next-generation products. Although 90 percent of its business involves the tobacco industry, it also builds specialized equipment for clients in the pharmaceutical industry.

    “Currently, we focus on fine dosing small quantities of powder and granulate materials into small vessels and precise, on-line measurement of the dosed masses,” said Druzdzel. “This includes compliance to pharma regulations. Also, based on our experience in the tobacco industry, we build pharma-specific, bespoke inspection systems that allow for online registration of key parameters. Both industries converge as the search for successful new-generation products intensifies on both sides.”

    HNB and other new-generation products certainly constitute one of the areas where Aiger sees its focus on innovation coming to the fore. “Look around,” said Macduff. “Everywhere you see new products that, through the application of new, exciting technologies, have advanced out of sight. There has been a sudden and fast rise of the driverless, electric car, and new tobacco products will move in a similar manner. By 2025, many people will travel in driverless cars, and most big cities will not allow anything but electric vehicles on their streets. Nobody can see into the future of the tobacco industry, but when HNB products are accepted by bodies such as main regulating administrations, international organizations and legislators as being, as claimed, more than 90 percent less risky than are traditional cigarettes, it is likely that soon these products only will be allowed to be [for] sale. It will be like the introduction of seat belts in cars—no ifs and no buts.”

    At that stage, sales of these devices—and therefore sales of the equipment needed to produce them—will take off. And here again, Aiger is prepared—open for future challenges, as Druzdzel puts it. While most of the company’s employees are engineers, the sales team has recently grown to account for 10 percent of the workforce. Aiger has established offices in Brazil, Switzerland and the U.S. It has also recently opened a Moscow office and is in the process of reorganizing its Asia business, something that will involve the opening of another office, probably in Southeast Asia, by the end of this year.

    And with sales agreed, Plovdiv is well-positioned geographically for Aiger to buy in the materials it needs and to send out its machines. The factory is about 3 kilometers from the nearest railway station and 2 kilometers from a major motorway that connects the airport in Sofia, Bulgaria, which is 140 kilometers away, with the Black Sea port of Burgas, which is 250 kilometers away. And there is a good international road network connecting Plovdiv with all neighboring countries and the rest of Europe.

    Fast adapters

    Aiger says its equipment portfolio is focused on two types of flexible and “fast-adapting” machinery: Flex filter makers and EON 300 cigarette packers. It offers a modular “plug and play” machine platform that allows operators to change from simple to complex filters in less than an hour. The Flex modules include those that can insert capsules, flavors and granular materials, and those that can process nonwrapped and paper filters. Each Flex module performs a dedicated function, such as inserting capsules (objects) into the moving tow or rod cavity, while, at the same time, handling the filter plugs and transferring them to an upstream module or to a desired position, defined by a final rod specification.

    In addition, Aiger has developed a twin capsule inserter. The company says that the inserter offers a gentle and cost-effective method of including two different capsules—perhaps capsules of different sizes or containing different flavors—in a single rod, or cigarette.

    Some Flex filter platforms, meanwhile, have been installed for development use in response to customer requests for unique modules to add to their existing complex-filter capabilities. “Moreover, we are introducing our bespoke micro-dosing solution for medical capsule-filling machinery,” said Druzdzel. “This opens a new chapter in the tobacco industry where extreme cleanliness meets extreme, six sigma dosing precision requirements.”

    One of the things that Aiger keeps its eye on is what it terms “legislative drivers,” such as the EU’s revised Tobacco Products Directive (TPD2). The company says that it was the first in the market with a full-size modular packer—the EON 300—that could be converted from conventional to TPD2 compliant packs in two shifts. And down the line, it offers a TPD2-ready compact stamper that can be converted to or from TPD2 format within less than 2 1/2 hours.

    “For packing, we offer a convertible, modular fast-fit system that allows customers to change from simple hinge-lid boxes to complex multichamber boxes—packs that are TPD2 compliant, and ‘Handy Packs’—in under three shifts,” said Druzdzel. “Packs include super-slims, 5-50s, round, square and everything in between.”

    Handy Packs are hinge-lid packs with an inner divider. “We have a TPD2 compliant packer, the Eon 300, that allows inner-divider insertion to create two separate compartments,” said Druzdzel. “This is especially useful for [other tobacco products]. In fact, our most recent innovative machine is the versatile Eon 300 packer for Handy Packs and for MYO applications. This clearly demonstrates the flexibility of our Eon 300 packer, on which we can make a three-cavity box and then feed three different and complex-shaped items into the box.”

    In fact, Aiger has recently sold the Eon 300 for producing limited-edition packs so that the consumer marketing teams of a large manufacturer can test new pack designs in limited production runs.

    As is mentioned above, for quality assurance, Aiger offers its Matrix Neo, which reports via Scada, ERP-SAP or Microsoft Dynamics to ensure constant product quality and data on which management can base corrective actions. It has been installed on filter and cigarette machines to check for dimensions, density, photo recognition, carbon fill, and capsule placement and damage, with explicit management data reporting. Although Aiger no longer offers cigarette makers or rebuilt machinery, it says the Matrix Neo can be retrofitted to any single-rod maker.

    Looking ahead, Aiger is intending to establish a new web shop for its established clients and to prepare for “Industry 4.0”—the fourth industrial revolution. “We have already achieved 90 percent-plus digitalization of all our data and systems,” said Druzdzel. “Aiger has recognized these ongoing processes and the associated business potential, and we have started preparing the company for these new realities.”

    And it is already well-prepared. It has a young workforce, with the average age of its employees being 34—people Macduff describes as brimming with excellent, challenging design ideas and the software skills to implement them.

  • An opportunity for health

    An opportunity for health

    David Sweanor

    David Sweanor shares his thoughts on the taxation of next-generation products

    David T. Sweanor is an adjunct professor in the faculty of law at the University of Ottawa in Canada. As a public health advocate, he has worked at reducing global cigarette smoking since 1983. Tobacco Reporter asked Sweanor for his views on the taxation of next-generation products.

    Tobacco Reporter: The scientific community agrees that the method of nicotine delivery, rather than the nicotine itself, is the culprit with regard to smoking-related diseases, with tobacco combustion carrying the greatest risk. In The New England Journal of Medicine, you argued that taxing products according to their risk level would maximize incentives for tobacco users to switch to less harmful products. Where on the risk continuum do you see taxes on e-cigarettes?

    Sweanor: The goal of public health—not to be confused with those with other agendas claiming to be advocating public health—is the reduction of death, diseases and disability. Where we find risks, we seek to reduce them. Prices impact consumption, and differential prices shape choices. The bigger the price differential, the greater the shift between substitutable goods.

    Anything other than a zero rate of tax on alternatives to cigarettes will result in less incentive to switch, both because of price differentials not being as great and because of the implicit message about the risk differential not being as significant. I would recommend no tax on most noncombustibles and a higher tax on combustibles as the most sensible starting point.

    Some argue that there need to be taxes on noncombustibles to prevent use by nonsmoking youth. But that means accepting a theoretical and preventable long-term health concern taking precedence over the virtual certainty of greater consumption of cigarettes and the resulting diseases in the immediate future. We should prefer alternatives that protect youth without imperiling the lives of their parents.

    What about nicotine-free e-liquids, which are currently also taxed? Does this make sense?

    It doesn’t. It is like identifying someone who gave up excessive drinking for jogging and deciding to tax her running shoes.

    Where on such a differentiated tax scale would tobacco-heating products come in?

    The key thing from a public health perspective is to get people off combustion-based delivery. At this point, discussion about the relative risks of vaping, heat-not-burn, snus, pharmaceutical nicotine, etc., and the potential taxes for each category misses that key point. It is like arguing about whether it is more dangerous to juggle oranges or apples or coconuts when people are currently juggling live hand grenades. The priority needs to be on replacing the truly deadly activity by offering a wide range of low-risk options, and we can discuss the relative merits of those alternatives later.

    While, in the EU states that tax e-cigarettes, a trend is emerging toward taxation on the basis of e-liquid volume, there is no unified policy on taxing e-cigarettes in the U.S. Some states and counties have opted to group e-cigarettes or liquid containing nicotine in the same tax category as “other tobacco products” that only have the wholesale price as a common taxable base. In the case of Pennsylvania, this has led to e-cigarettes being taxed based on the wholesale price, inclusive of the liquid and devices. What should be the taxable basis for e-cigarettes?

    E-cigarettes should not be subjected to excise taxes. Such taxes discourage switching from cigarettes and create compliance issues that disadvantage smaller suppliers, thus harming innovation and protecting the cigarette market. The Pennsylvania tax was a gift to the cigarette trade and would be the equivalent of the state putting a massive tax on clean water when rancid water is readily available and widely used.

    The EU is presently reviewing the rates and structures of excise duty applied to manufactured tobacco and for the first time plans to include vapor products in its tax regime. In the U.S., the hopes of vapers are on the new FDA commissioner, Scott Gottlieb. What’s your advice for them regarding taxation of next-generation tobacco products?

    Put a sign on your wall saying, “It’s the smoke, stupid,” and read it every day. We have an extraordinary opportunity to make one of the greatest-ever breakthroughs in public health by simply giving viable low-risk alternatives to the repeated inhalation of the products of combustion. Keep your eye on the prize. Don’t fail a “vision test.”

    Recent attempts at taxation of vapor products—such as those in California, which no longer differentiates between combustible cigarettes and e-cigarettes—seek to prevent people from switching to e-cigarettes. Obviously, the idea of a risk continuum isn’t plausible to Californian fiscal policymakers, and they are only some among many who think that way. What would be a suitable strategy to convince such fiscal lawmakers of a differential tax strategy?

    Efforts to “prevent switching”—and campaigners for such measures are usually open about that being their goal—are ideologically driven abstinence-only measures. They have been tried on a wide range of issues where there is an absolutist rather than public-health orientation. One need only look at prohibitionist policies on alcoholic beverages, the war on drugs, sex outside of heterosexual marriage, etc., to see the same sort of thinking, the same sorts of harm to health and human rights, and, ultimately, the same abject failure. What is surprising is that ideologues could have pushed through such policies in a place like California despite the presence of very effective advocates there who successfully battled such policies in dealing with AIDS and, lately, drug policies.

    Public Health England was the first health authority to make an official and clear statement about the reduced harm potential of vapor products. How much could more such statements contribute to appropriate legislation and ultimately help answer the question of appropriate taxation of vapor products?

    The U.K. has long been a global leader in pursuing pragmatic strategies to deal with public health issues. Given the history of alcohol, birth control, illicit drugs, workplace safety, etc., it is encouraging but not surprising to see U.K. leadership on nicotine issues. In other jurisdictions, it is often a small group of people with absolutist ideologies who impede progress in reducing risks. As with Wayne Wheeler of the Anti-Saloon League, they are energetic, loud, often very nasty, and wrong.

    Cigarette manufacturers, such as Philip Morris International (PMI), claim they want to design a smoke-free future. What role do tax-based price differentiations play in stimulating the market for reduced-risk products and eventually, perhaps, achieving PMI’s goal?

    Differential pricing is huge, and decisions on taxation shape those differentials. As evolving technology allows the noncombustion products to get ever more acceptable to smokers, price will play a huge role in shaping the market. Tax policy can literally stop a global pandemic of cigarette-caused disease. Finance officials around the world can play a huge role in doing what D.A. Henderson did to smallpox, or Norman Borlaug to reduce famine, and should be no less honored for making it happen.—S.R.

     

  • Outstanding innovations

    Outstanding innovations

    New filter technologies are helping cigarette manufacturers set their products apart.

    By Patrick Meredith

    As with most industries, consumer expectations and industry demands are constantly evolving, leading to new trends and continuous innovation. This is no different in the filters market, with many external factors and different consumer preferences coming into play. As the amount of industry regulation and legislation grows—with increasing restrictions around tobacco content, marketing and packaging, among other things—manufacturers must turn to the filters themselves to differentiate their products and create greater appeal for consumers.

    This has led to numerous exciting innovations, such as different filter diameters, lengths, shapes, flavors and colors. One type of specialist filter that has seen particularly strong growth over the last five years is the capsule filter. Having grown almost exponentially from its first entrance into the market in 2008, the current global capsule market is estimated to be approximately 150 billion sticks per year. Demand for capsule filters has increased significantly as they fulfill changing customer preferences and meet their evolving tastes—capsules provide flexibility, variety and personalization. Capsule filters enable a concept widely known as “mass personalization”; the different filter options allow customers to personalize their experience by choosing which flavors they wish to smoke and when during their consumption they want to release the flavors. In response to this strong customer demand, filter manufacturers around the world have expanded their capsule offerings, providing various new flavors and innovations.

    These innovative capsules can vary in terms of flavors, ranging from the more traditional, such as menthol, to the more exotic, such as rose or green tea. With an audible “pop” when the integrated capsule is crushed, capsule filters enhance the customer experience through the addition of sound as well as taste. At Essentra, a leading global supplier of filters and scientific services, the entry-point capsule filter is the Sensation filter. The Sensation currently comes in a wide range of flavors, including grape, apple, spearmint and osmanthus.

    Leveraging the market’s increasing popularity of products with smaller circumferences, capsule filters are now readily incorporated into slim and super-slim sizes, normally in more premium products. The overall trend toward super-slim products has also been particularly strong in Africa and the Middle East, which saw an increase in sales of almost 12 percent in 2016.

    Capsules can also be incorporated into dual-segment filters to add extra features. For example, capsules can be embedded in dual-segment carbon filters, or they can be included in filters that incorporate a tube segment. By including capsules in these special filters, consumers can enjoy the benefits of both interesting flavors and the more innovative variants. Essentra’s creatively designed Dual Sensation filter provides a number of different combinations for consumers to choose from, including either a capsule segment with a carbon segment or a capsule segment with a visually distinctive filter segment. These combinations present consumers with the choice and ability to personalize their product through several unique taste, smell and visualization options.

    Similarly, dual-segment filters with capsules in both segments mean consumers can enjoy a bespoke experience. A filter with two capsules means consumers only need one filter but can get twice the flavor, on demand—as can be seen with one of Essentra’s most recent proprietary innovations, the TwinSense. Filters with two capsules are seen to be the filter type that offers the customer the most control; consumers can choose not to burst the capsules at all, to burst one for one flavor or to burst both capsules for a combination of the two. An assortment of flavor combinations are available, such as menthol and strawberry or menthol and grape.

    For all variants, to maximize flexibility, the filter tip’s length, circumference and pressure drop can be varied to suit taste and design requirements. As consumers become more discerning, manufacturers must be able to offer flexibility and the ability to create the exact products and services that meet user needs.

    However, with further legislation due to be implemented, there may be limitations within the capsule market. For example, in accordance with the revised EU Tobacco Products Directive (TPD), menthol cigarettes will be banned in the EU by May 2020. Article 7 of the TPD states, “Member states shall prohibit the placing on the market of tobacco products with a characterizing flavor.” In addition, in the U.S., a ban on cigarettes containing certain characterizing flavors (excluding menthol) went into effect, authorized by the Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act, as part of a national effort by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to reduce smoking in America. According to the act, “a cigarette or any of its component parts (including the tobacco, filter or paper) shall not contain, as a constituent or additive, an artificial or natural flavor (other than tobacco or menthol) or an herb or spice … that is a characterizing flavor of the tobacco product or tobacco smoke.”

    Patrick Meredith is innovations director at Essentra.

    Until this legislation is realized, it is therefore still possible to use capsules and capsule filters to differentiate brands. It is also partly why there are now so many variants being introduced into the market. For example, although it’s a slightly different technology, a “water capsule” was recently launched in Japan to show potential different applications and functions that are being investigated. The water capsule itself modifies the taste but in a different way, by cooling rather than imparting a flavor. Water is also known to have some filtration properties if it is present in the appropriate quantities, so there may also be an additional benefit in this regard.

    Therefore, not only do capsules help manufacturers cater to consumer tastes, but they also add value in terms of brand differentiation. As industry regulation and legislation continues to grow with increasing restrictions around tobacco content, marketing and packaging, manufacturers continue to turn to the filters themselves to distinguish their products. Leveraging the capsule in this way creates an opportunity for brands to add value and offer something that their competitors do not. It will be interesting to see how capsules continue to develop and what new innovations are created that can add the same flexibility and personalization that current capsules do but can also comply with any new regulations that come into place.

  • How low can you go?

    How low can you go?

    Scandinavia’s market for combustible tobacco continues to shrink as consumers look for less harmful alternatives.

    By Stefanie Rossel

    Among the Scandinavian countries, Sweden and Norway stand out when it comes to low smoking rates. With only 7 percent of its population using cigarettes, cigars, cigarillos or pipes, Sweden remained best in class in 2016, according to www.statista.com, whereas Norway’s smoking prevalence stood around 12 percent, according to Statistics Norway. With a smoking prevalence of 20 percent, Denmark trails its northern neighbors but is still comfortably below the EU average of 25 percent.

    The record-low figures are attributed to widespread health consciousness and the popularity in Norway and Sweden of snus, a pasteurized oral tobacco that is available as loose leaf and in pouches. In Sweden, snus has been used for 200 years. Throughout the rest of the EU, however, the product is banned. (Norway is outside the EU.)

    Snus is believed to be significantly less harmful than smoking, but that knowledge hasn’t stopped Norway from subjecting the product to strict regulations. When it recently became the fourth European country to introduce standardized packaging for tobacco products, Norway explicitly included snus in the new legislation.

    With the exemption of e-cigarettes, chewing tobacco, cigars and pipe tobacco, cigarettes and all other tobacco products are now sold in drab brown-green packaging, bare of manufacturer logos and with brand names in a standardized font. In addition, Norway’s Standardized Packaging of Tobacco Products Law (2017) requires packs to feature large health warnings with text and images showing, for example, diseased lungs.

    Retailers have a transition period of one year to comply with the new legislation, the purpose of which is to prevent children and young people from starting smoking and using snus. Legislatures justified their decision by pointing to the dramatic increase in snus use among young people over the past 10–15 years. During the same period, they claim, many new snus products with appealing packaging designs entered the market. Swedish Match, which leads the snus and moist snuff category in Sweden and Norway, on July 7 filed for a temporary injunction, saying that the measure is disproportionate and inappropriate for the protection of public health.

    In Sweden, the snus news has been more positive. In May 2017, Sweden’s Karolinska Institutet published a study that dismissed the causal relationship between snus and pancreatic cancer. The findings might support the pending legal challenge of the EU snus ban. In July 2016, Swedish Match had brought the challenge to the U.K. High Court; the company was joined by the New Nicotine Alliance, a nongovernmental organization acting as a third party in the public interest. In January 2017, the High Court referred the case, as the litigants had hoped, to the European Court of Justice (ECJ).

    Given the low risk of snus compared to other tobacco products on the market, the plaintiffs argue that the ban is incommensurate and contravenes the EU’s right to a high level of individual and public health protection. While the legal challenge of the EU snus ban follows two earlier, unsuccessful attempts, it’s the first time that infringement of human rights is being brought forward as an argument.

    EU member states and other stakeholders had until July 7 to make a submission to the ECJ commenting on the legal issues. In contrast to earlier occasions when the EU snus ban was challenged, the Swedish government this time chose not to submit an opinion, according to a press release from the New Nicotine Alliance Sweden, which was published in early August. Previously, Sweden’s government had pointed out health risks associated with snus; its opinion was believed to have influenced the ECJ to uphold the ban. The country’s silence may now facilitate a repeal. A ruling by the ECJ is expected in the first half of 2018 at the earliest.

    A legendary love of snus

    In both Norway and Sweden, the snus segment continued to grow in 2016, with pouched snus increasingly outselling traditional loose-leaf products. At the end of last year, portioned snus had a market share of 80 percent throughout Scandinavia, according to Swedish Match.

    In Sweden, the number of snus users surpassed that of cigarette smokers in 2012. Approximately 1 million of the country’s 9.9 million inhabitants now consume the moist snuff. Swedish Match estimated the market comprised about 375 million cans in 2016, up by approximately 4 percent from the previous year. Some 56 percent of the snus market last year was dominated by premium products, but the economy and mid-priced segments continue to grow. Excise tax hikes for the product category stayed moderate; rates were virtually unchanged in January 2016 and saw a less than 1 percent rise in January 2017.

    With a market share of 67.4 percent, Swedish Match dominated the domestic moist snuff market in 2016, followed by Imperial Tobacco Group (ITG), British American Tobacco (BAT) and Japan Tobacco International (JTI). Swedish Match leads the premium-priced snus segment with its General snus brand. The company’s other brands in Sweden include Goteborgs Rapé, Ettan, Grov and Catch.

    Despite its dominance, Swedish Match has been losing market share in the snus category. In the premium category, its share shrank by 1.3 percentage points to 91.8 percent in the first six months of 2017 compared to the first half of 2016. In the economy segment, Swedish Match lost market share to smaller manufacturers. Its share decreased from 38.8 percent in the first half of 2016 to 36.5 percent during the same period this year.

    Shifting categories

    Snus manufacturers have kept busy making their portfolios comply with the requirements of the revised EU Tobacco Products Directive (TPD2). Sweden’s parliament adopted the bill for transposing TPD2 into national law on April 6. In addition to stipulating graphic health warnings for cigarette packs, the law now mandates two health warnings on snus containers and bans the specification of the amounts of tar, nicotine and carbon monoxide on the packaging of tobacco products.

    The value of Sweden’s entire tobacco market shrank from $3.34 billion in 2015 to $3.33 billion in 2016, according to Euromonitor International. The individual product categories experienced significant shifts in 2016. In value terms, cigarettes remained the leading category with sales of $1.94 billion, down from $2.04 billion in 2015. JTI, which is present in Sweden with popular brands such as Blend, Right, Camel and Level, continued to lead the category in 2016 with a market share of 39.6 percent, followed by PMI (31.4 percent) and BAT (26.8 percent).

    Cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco decreased to $122.2 million in 2016 ($157.8 million in 2015), whereas the smokeless tobacco category, the majority of which is snus, rose to $1.21 billion in 2016 from $1.14 billion in 2015.

    The Swedish vapor market has recorded solid growth since the product became legal in February 2016, after the country’s Supreme Court rejected pharmaceutical licensing. Its retail value was estimated at $47.7 million in 2016.

    Sales ban on vapor products lifted

    Developments in Norway have mirrored those in Sweden, albeit on a smaller scale. The overall tobacco market retail value shrank from $2.07 billion in 2015 to $2.01 billion last year, according to Euromonitor statistics.

    Increasingly strict regulation and the stigmatization of smokers combined with long-standing health concerns about combustible tobacco contributed to a further decrease in Norwegian cigarette consumption. The cigarette market was valued at $1.03 billion in 2016, down from $1.08 billion one year earlier. The majority of the 2016 market was held by BAT, with a share of 51 percent, followed by PMI (33.6 percent), ITG (11.2 percent), JTI (2 percent) and Scandinavian Tobacco Group (0.5 percent).

    The cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco category shrank to $334.9 million in 2016 from $362.8 million in 2015.

    The country’s smokeless tobacco market, by contrast, rose from $595.7 million in 2015 to $629.9 million last year. In 2016, Swedish Match again led the category, with a share of 53.5 percent, followed by ITG and BAT. Just like in its domestic market, Swedish Match has been losing ground in Norway. In the first six months of 2017, the company’s share of the Norwegian market dropped to 51.9 percent, down from 54.1 percent in the same period of 2015.

    For the vapor products category, Euromonitor noted a retail value of $13.4 million in 2016. It will be interesting to see how Norway’s tobacco and vapor markets will develop following the introduction of plain packaging and the legalization of e-cigarettes in December 2016.

    Danes love cloud-chasing

    Although its smoking prevalence is higher than those in other Nordic countries, Denmark’s tobacco trends are similar to those experienced by its neighbors. Due to declining cigarette consumption, anti-smoking campaigns and growing health awareness, the retail value of Denmark’s entire tobacco market contracted to $1.95 billion in 2016 from $2.12 billion in 2015, according to Euromonitor.

    While still representing a majority of the market, the cigarette category declined from $1.78 billion in 2015 to $1.7 billion last year. With a 72.5 percent market share, BAT led the market in 2016, followed by PMI (17.4 percent) and JTI (7.9 percent). ITG and Von Eicken held market shares of 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

    Smokeless tobacco products shrank by $1 million in 2016 from $13.9 million in 2015. The decrease in the segment is due to a new law banning Swedish-style snus from Jan. 1, 2016. Just like Sweden, Denmark had received an exemption when the EU banned snus in 1992 but only for the sale of loose snus, not portioned snus. Following several warnings and, in 2014, a lawsuit by the European Commission, the Danish government prohibited sale of pouched snus. Sales of loose snus are still allowed. The ban effectively wiped out a subcategory that, according to Euromonitor, in 2015 was worth dkk20 million ($3.16 million).

    The only category that bucked the downward trend in the Danish tobacco market was vapor. Its retail value rose to $70.4 million in 2016 from $41.8 million in 2015. The boom was driven by the legalization of nicotine-containing vapor products in June 2016.

    The impressive growth rates in the segment set Denmark apart from its Nordic neighbors. According to Euromonitor, e-cigarettes are emerging as a direct competitor to combustible cigarettes in the small country.

  • Fiscal cacophony

    Fiscal cacophony

    In the absence of a clear category definition, next-generation products are subjected to a bewildering array of tax policies.

    By Stefanie Rossel

    As next-generation tobacco products (NGPs) continue to gain popularity, developing an appropriate taxation policy for novel cigarette alternatives remains a complex issue around the globe. It’s a subject that involves many conflicting interests: Governments are looking for new revenues to make up for “losses” brought about by shrinking cigarette sales. In the absence of long-term studies, policymakers are reluctant to embrace the idea that NGPs might benefit public health and hence need to be promoted by appropriate taxation. Others argue for zero taxation of NGPs to prevent ex-smokers from switching back to combustibles and to encourage current smokers to switch to less unhealthy alternatives.

    Lacking a unified policy on how excise taxes on vapor products should be structured, several member countries of the European Union and an increasing number of states and lower authorities in the U.S. have been going it alone. Recent examples bear witness to the widely varying policy rationales that have developed around the NGP category in the absence of clear definitions. Are vaping devices just as bad—i.e., as hazardous to health—as combustible cigarettes and therefore deserve an equally high punitive tax? Californian voters seem to agree, although scientific evidence suggests that vapor products are a significantly less harmful alternative to tobacco products. In November 2016, voters in the Golden State approved a ballot initiative to increase taxes on cigarettes to $2.87 per pack of 20 and to tax vaping devices at an equivalent rate.

    Other questions relate to whether vaping is a gateway to smoking, especially for young people, and whether nicotine is just as much a cause for smoking-related diseases as are the byproducts of combustion. While both theories have been debunked by now, Finland’s fiscal policymakers, like many of their colleagues in other countries that currently tax vape products, still had them in mind when introducing an excise duty of €0.30 ($0.34) per milliliter of e-liquid on Jan. 1.

    In December 2016, Finland amended its tobacco excise tax act to define e-liquid as a tobacco product. The new tax applies to all e-liquids, even those without nicotine. Sales of nicotine-containing liquids had become legal in the Finnish market only in mid-November 2016. Fittingly, Finland now permits only one flavor for e-liquids: tobacco.

    Proof that vapor product taxes are unlikely to compensate for declining cigarette revenues comes from Pennsylvania. In October 2016, a 40 percent tax hike on the wholesale price of e-cigarettes, including devices and liquids, as well as a tax on retailers’ inventories, came into effect. The vapor tax was projected to bring in $13.3 million in revenues but had a devastating effect—more than 100 vape shops across the state went out of business. By the end of March, with three months left in the 2016–2017 fiscal year, Pennsylvania’s Department of Revenue had collected only $7 million in e-cigarette taxes.

    In the focus of EU tax policy

    Among the EU member states that have taxed NGPs, a clear trend is recognizable: E-cigarettes are taxed based on liquid volume. Excise tax on e-liquid is presently levied in Italy and Portugal (since 2014); Latvia, Romania and Slovenia (since 2016); and Hungary, Greece and Finland (since the beginning of this year). In June, Poland’s health ministry released a proposal to impose a tax on vapor liquids.

    Hungary, Latvia, Portugal, Romania and Slovenia have also introduced excise taxes on tobacco-heating products. While it does not tax e-cigarettes, Slovakia joined these states in May. Acknowledging that tobacco-heating products, despite containing tobacco, do not fit into existing classifications, most of these countries created new tax categories.

    The excise tax is typically based on the weight of the heated tobacco mixture, with rates ranging from €62 per kg in Latvia to €88 per kg in Slovenia. Hungary, by contrast, uses tobacco sticks to calculate the rate.

    Guidance in NGP tax matters may eventually come from Brussels. The European Commission is required to review the rates and structures of excise duties applied to manufactured tobacco every four years and propose changes where necessary. This review is currently underway, and for the first time the inclusion of vapor products is being discussed.

    If e-cigarettes were to be included, the commission would have to set a common excise regime for vapor products across all 28 member states. Vapor trade organizations have already cautioned against imposing additional costs and administrative burdens that would make the end product more expensive and act as a disincentive to switching from smoking to vaping.

    In late 2016 and early 2017, the commission held a public consultation about e-cigarette taxation. Asked whether e-cigarettes and liquids should be subject to an additional tax, 89.88 percent of respondents said no. Many fear that hiking taxes on NGPs will increase cross-border sales and cause some users to return to combustibles. The commission is currently assessing the results of the consultation.

    Significant variations

    In the U.S., there is no federal levy on vapor products. States, counties and cities levy taxes, and the methods and levels vary considerably. Among the jurisdictions that currently tax vapor products, four charge excise based on wholesale price. Minnesota has implemented a tax of 95 percent of the wholesale price on tobacco products, including e-cigarettes. California and the District of Columbia tax vapor products at a rate equal to the tax imposed on cigarette packs; in the case of D.C., this means a 67 percent tax. Kansas, Louisiana, North Carolina and West Virginia tax e-cigarettes based on the volume of consumable liquid solution.

    Several cities tax e-cigarettes even if their state does not. Chicago, for example, levies a tax of $0.80 per unit plus a per milliliter rate of $0.20.

    The implementation of high taxes on NGPs in the U.S. has driven smaller vape shops out of business and encouraged vapers to either shop online or out of state. Kansas recently tried to turn this development around. In July, the state reduced its tax per milliliter of e-liquid from $0.20 to $0.05, bringing it in line with the tax in North Carolina and Louisiana.

    While the tax structure and rates for vapor products in those states have now been harmonized, it will be a while before tax authorities around the globe will be singing from the same sheet.

     

  • The smart money

    The smart money

    Capitalizing on its industry roots, Challenger aims to help tobacco companies raise finance as banks have stepped back.

    By George Gay

    If in the past you had wanted to raise trade finance, the chances are that you would have gone to a bank. In more recent times, however, you might have found such an approach less than fruitful because, for a number of reasons that are easy to speculate about but hard to be sure of, banks have become less supportive of certain business enterprises—and nowhere is this more evident than in the case of tobacco.

    Of course, the retreat by the banks has left a partial vacuum, and, because entrepreneurs hate a vacuum, the stage was set in November 2015 for the establishment of Challenger*, a fund that specializes in providing trade finance founded by Paul and Charles Taberer and Gary Isbister.

    “The Taberer family have come from a tobacco background, and in our heyday there were many banks, perhaps 15 to 20, that were pretty active in the tobacco trade finance game,” Paul Taberer told Tobacco Reporter in June. “But over the years that number has diminished quite radically, and so we started to see a demand from the market for trade finance funds to take the place of what the banks used to provide or to complement what the banks currently provide.”

    So the establishment of the fund was driven initially by this knowledge of and experience in the tobacco industry. “We thought that since we understood tobacco—we knew the suppliers, we knew the majority of the end users, and we understood the risks involved—it was appropriate for us to set up a fund, a pot of money if you like, that could be managed by us and deployed to the industry—to tobacco dealers and tobacco traders,” said Taberer. “We are essentially a hedge fund that is providing finance to enable traders to trade. We are lending money to enable this to be done.”

    Managing risk

    Tobacco still accounts for an important share of Challenger’s business, but it is now one of about 10 commodities and products for which the company provides finance. Simply put, Challenger’s policy is to have as broad a portfolio as is consistent with maintaining an efficient operation, in part because a narrow portfolio would expose the business to unnecessary risk. Nevertheless, currently 35 percent of the mony in the fund is deployed toward tobacco transactions, and the rest is deployed in the direction of, at any one time, up to 10 other products, such as fertilizer, grains, minerals and fast-moving consumer goods.

    In fact, Taberer said that Challenger would look at any request for trade finance—officially termed “collateralized, short-dated, trade-finance transactions”—as long as it did not involve something that was too perishable, something that might go kaput on the boat or the plane. “For instance, let’s say flowers from Kenya to England wouldn’t be our cup of tea because that is far too perishable,” he said. “Fresh produce is OK as long as it has a decent shelf life.”

    Challenger’s Johannesburg team

    This is all about minimizing the risks of lending money. If something goes wrong, Challenger wants to be in a position where it can offload the traded product in the market. Security is a vital aspect of the business. For instance, with a view to minimizing risk, Challenger won’t lend 100 percent of the cost of a trade because it wants the trader also to have a financial stake in the deal. And those traders have to have a reputation and a track record to qualify for finance. “Whenever we get a request for finance, we do our due diligence, looking, for instance, at how long the trader has been in business, what is his reputation, what is his track record, what are his financials,” Taberer said. “We do our due diligence on the end buyer, too, and if in either case we are unsatisfied we will dig a little deeper. Finally, if we are still unsatisfied, we will not undertake the transaction.”

    While the company is willing to look at most requests for trade finance—leaning toward tobacco—it is a global company with an African bias. “Off the top of my head, I would say that 60 to 70 percent of the goods for which we provide trade finance originate in Africa,” said Taberer. “But while the goods might come from Africa, the end user might be based in Europe, Asia or elsewhere; so we see our risk as not necessarily being African. It is an African product put together by a reputable dealer, but the ultimate risk is going to lie with the guy who is paying for the tobacco.”

    Appetite for growth

    Challenger is, for the time being at least, a relatively small fund. It deployed about $50 million during the past 12 months, but there is an ambition to expand the current fund and even to add another fund, if that is what investors want.

    “We are going to increase the size of the fund,” said Taberer. “There is interest from investors because we are achieving a satisfactory return, and as we get a higher profile and add scale we will become of even more interest to investors. We believe there is an appetite for this kind of financing fund that would support assets under management of around $150 million to $200 million, and we would hope to be there within five years. It’s a gradual process but one that accelerates as time goes on. The slow part is the time behind us and the next 12 months as we build investor scale and develop our pipeline of clients.”

    Paul Taberer
    Paul Taberer

    Taberer sounds very confident about the future, and this is not altogether surprising. There are, of course, other trade finance funds in the world—and they have had a head start on Challenger and are doing well—but Challenger has a number of niches, and one of those niches is the tobacco sector. And, importantly, what is on offer to investors through the Challenger fund are forecasted returns of 10–12 percent, though last year the return was more like 8.5–9 percent. The reason for this shortfall, if you like, is that, being a young fund, Challenger can find itself with more funds coming in than it can allocate to the trade deals it has in the pipeline; so it has money sitting in the bank, or what is known as “cash drag.” If it weren’t for the cash drag, Taberer reckons, returns would now be around 12–13 percent, and he fully expects that the trade deal pipeline will settle down soon and that returns will be about 10 percent by the end of this year.

    So who are the fund’s investors? Well they comprise about 25 individuals, institutions and companies. Some are those who provided the seed capital—family members, friends and high-network individuals—but now there are also institutions, family offices and funds.

    Looking from the traders’ point of view, the downside of all of this is that Challenger has to charge higher rates for the money they lend than would a bank. “We are a hedge fund, and we have investors who expect a decent return, and therefore in order for us to provide that level of return, we have to charge a higher rate than the traditional trade finance banks would have charged. But that is just the nature of what we are,” said Taberer.

    Of course, this has to be set against the fact that it might not be possible to find a bank that would be willing to finance a certain trade. “From what I understand, banks generally do not make it easy to borrow from them unless you have a pretty strong balance sheet,” said Taberer. “If it’s just sort of transactional trade finance and where balance sheets are quite thin, then there is a fair degree of reluctance.”

    Paul Taberer is based in the U.K., and his brother Charles is based in Zimbabwe. The fund is listed in the Cayman Islands, and that fund is managed by Challenger Management Ltd., which is a Mauritian company. The organization, which employs a small number of people, includes a South African presence to which the management company outsources documentation and administrative services.

    *The fund’s full name is Challenger Trade Finance Segregated Portfolio of the South Africa Alpha SPC. It is managed by South Africa Alpha Capital Management Ltd. and advised by Challenger Management Ltd.

     

  • The ties that bind

    The ties that bind

    Henkel continues to innovate to stay on top of the tobacco industry’s rapidly evolving adhesives requirements.

    Contributed

    The nearly 6 trillion cigarettes smoked every year have one thing in common: Each is held together by a few milligrams of adhesive. On average, manufacturers use around 0.018 grams of adhesives per cigarette. Cigars and smokeless tobacco products, too, require adhesives. The supply of tobacco adhesives is a multimillion-dollar industry, with various companies competing for business. Henkel is a leading global solution provider for adhesives, sealants and functional coatings that has developed considerable expertise in tobacco adhesives.

    Henkel’s factory in Erlinsbach, Switzerland, is the most advanced tobacco adhesives production facility in the world, according to Jean Pierre De Smet, sales and segment manager of tobacco adhesives for Europe at Henkel. From here, the company plans and coordinates the worldwide development, production and sale of its cigarette adhesives.

    The facility originally belonged to Laesser Klebstoffe. Henkel acquired the company in 1995 and has continuously developed the factory. Since its recertification by the Swiss organization for quality and management systems according to ISO 9002 and the implementation of a holistic, process-driven quality-management system, the Laesser adhesive division has been upgraded to an international competence center for tobacco adhesives.

    “We offer the right product for every application—from plug seam, tow anchor and cigarette seam to tax stamp and carton sealing,” says De Smet. “The facilities can respond to the needs of the market by adapting the capacity. Currently, we supply adhesives to about 450 cigarette and cigarillo manufacturing locations in more than 80 countries.”

    Cleanliness and hygiene

    Clean production has been the cornerstone for product quality since the introduction of the concept in 1998. “The clean production facility in Erlinsbach is one of the most progressive adhesives production facilities anywhere,” says De Smet. “Its design is unique in the world, as our ‘clean-in-place’ system describes the technical design of the overall production site in terms of absolute hygiene.”

    To ensure hygiene across the board, the clean-in-place system extends along the whole length of the production chain, starting with the arrival and storage of the raw materials and continuing through production and filling to the delivery of the adhesives. This includes all tanks, lines, pumps and machines. Clean rooms are separated by air locks from other areas. Air and water in these rooms are thoroughly cleaned and treated beforehand.

    From batch mixing, production and package labeling through to make-up, the entire production process takes place in these rooms. The sealed containers then leave the clean rooms via an air lock. For microbiologically immaculate production, personal hygiene is important as well. It includes clearly defined hygiene measures and special work clothes for employees. Last but not least, all produced batches and all raw materials are microbiologically analyzed. The goods are released only if all the investigated parameters are within strict limits.

    Efficient system solutions and added value

    “If you stick to the best adhesive, you should also care about the machines and system solutions that apply the adhesive on the different surfaces,” says De Smet. Nozzle systems used for adhesive applications to ensure efficient and economical dosage are one example.

    The challenge is to guarantee the exact adhesive flow in milligrams per meter; per second; per filter rod, cigarette or cigarette pack, ensuring the same amount of adhesive is used on every box, no matter whether the machine is cold or warm. State-of-the-art systems assist in troubleshooting to find out why one machine runs clean with proper bonding and another does not, for example. Added value is created when those system solutions support the nontobacco material planning and quality department by providing the exact consumption figures. It can break down consumption details to a single cigarette box for packaging machines and down to a single stick for rod makers.

    Close cooperation

    “Regulatory requirements are getting more and more demanding, especially with regard to additives,” says De Smet. “This requires constant reformulation for many existing products.” As legislation varies from country to country, the experts at Erlinsbach must work in close cooperation with customers and original equipment manufacturers to create tailor-made solutions.

    “New materials with specific surface properties like coated rod and tipping paper or transfer metalized hinge lid blanks make it nearly impossible to have ‘universal’ grades,” says De Smet. “Therefore, we have been establishing intense cooperation with original machine manufacturers.”

    Innovation work

    Research on innovative products and technologies for future machine generations are part of the daily work at Erlinsbach. New machines and adhesive application systems require state-of-the-art adhesives that are developed specifically for this equipment. With ever-increasing manufacturing speeds, diverse bonding surfaces and different adhesives application systems—often on the same machine—the adhesive constantly has to meet new requirements.

    New products add to the innovative challenge. The machinery producing reduced-risk products, for example, differs considerably from traditional tobacco equipment. “The challenge is to have the right product portfolio balance,” says De Smet. “What can be done with existing grades, and where do we need to develop them from scratch? We were the first supplier to receive the necessary certification by key tobacco players.”

    Ecology

    “We are dedicated to the principles of sustainability and environmental protection,” says De Smet. “All Henkel products therefore combine strong customer benefits with ecological compatibility. We maintain the highest standards for comprehensive product safety and health protection.”

    The Erlinsbach facility has reduced energy consumption by 25 percent since 2010, according to plant manager Patrick Herzog. During the same period, water savings amounted to 48 percent, CO2 emissions dropped by 35 percent, and the volume of waste decreased by 68.5 percent.

    “We are constantly adjusting the levers that optimize sustainability,” says Herzog. “We only use green electricity that stems mostly from hydropower in Switzerland, and we check for unnecessary use of electricity by avoiding standby [settings], for example. But there is much more than choosing the right energy. We are optimizing cleaning cycles and production processes to reduce the consumption of materials by preventing incorrect batching and waste, for example.

    “Another point we take care of is recycling,” continues Herzog. “This extends to the raw materials purchased from suppliers. We managed to reach a zero-landfill quota. The sewage sludge is fed into a digestion tank for fermentation and the production of methane gas. Last but not least, clean room production at Erlinsbach is a factor, as it allows a considerable increase in product durability, reducing waste and loss.”

    From Erlinsbach to the world

    Henkel’s Erlinsbach cigarette competence center combines the resources of a global company with the flexibility of a small business unit, according to Henkel. As customers with global operations need global suppliers, Henkel is capable of efficiently supplying adhesives for the tobacco industry to all corners of the globe.

    The Tobacoll brand adhesives are produced at selected locations close to the tobacco industry, with at least one production plant on each continent. An internationally implemented and consistently applied quality-management system enables Henkel to maintain a high product standard at every location. Henkel’s worldwide footprint also means that, regardless of a customer’s location, there is always a team of specialists on call to resolve problems.

    “We know that our customers appreciate Henkel’s overall offer,” says De Smet. “Factors like security of supply, agility, responsiveness to IT-driven processes, development capabilities, listening to the customer and global coverage seem to be our strong points. Henkel offers support to tobacco customers in all regions in a harmonized but tailored way, whether it comes to quality standards, specifications or efficiency.”

    So when it comes to Henkel tobacco adhesives, it all starts with Erlinsbach—that little Swiss town in the midst of hills, creeks and green pastures that has been populated since the Bronze Age and has a global impact today.

     

  • Rollback

    Rollback

    Lawmakers want to end the tax advantage enjoyed by roll-your-own products.

    By George Gay

    Earlier this year, the Australian Associated Press reported that, as part of the Australian budget presented in May, the taxation on RYO tobacco—and some other tobacco products—was to be raised over four years to the same level as that on cigarettes. The purpose of this measure, it was said, was to create a “level playing field,” whatever that might mean in this context. So I guess we were expected to believe it was merely incidental that the tax hike was estimated to rake in additional revenue of a$360 million ($277 million) annually.

    The idea that the tax on RYO tobacco should be increased to equal that on cigarettes has been around for a while, but it seems to be gaining traction. I cannot help feeling that it is being driven by that rather unpleasant human trait in which most of us at some stage become concerned that someone, somewhere, but not us, is getting away with something. But it is often put forward as a way of improving the health of smokers by pricing RYO tobacco smokers out of the market and not providing a refuge for cigarette smokers when they get priced out of their market. I think, however, that you would have to be terribly trusting to believe that this was the case.

    There is, to my mind, a lot of nonsense spoken about the health risks of various tobacco products, especially in the case of the relative risks posed by RYO tobacco and cigarettes. In an extract from a story in the Irish Daily Mail published at the end of May, Martina Blake of the Irish Health Service Executive (HSE) was quoted as saying that people incorrectly believed the consumption of RYO tobacco was safer than was the consumption of manufactured cigarettes but that “nothing could be further from the truth.” “Nothing could be further from the truth” is an ambiguous phrase, but I take it to mean that Blake believes that the consumption of RYO tobacco is riskier than is the consumption of cigarettes, or, at least, just as risky.

    I wonder if she has any evidence to support such a claim. My gut feeling is that she does not. The truth of the matter must be that whereas it is known that the consumption of combustible tobacco products in general carries certain risks, we really have no idea what are the relative risks of smoking, including inhaling, various types of tobacco products—if indeed the risk does differ to a level that could be measured.

    What is known, however, is that RYO tobacco tends to be smoked by the most financially impoverished people. The Daily Mail story reported on a study titled Roll Your Own Cigarettes in Ireland: Key Patterns and Trends, which was published by the HSE on May 31. The study found that of the 19.5 percent of respondents who smoked in 2014, 24.6 percent reported smoking RYO tobacco, a figure that was said to have risen from 3.5 percent in 2003. At 31.8 percent, male smokers were more likely to smoke RYO tobacco than were women, at 16.3 percent, while the highest prevalence of RYO smoking was among smokers aged below 25, at 44.9 percent. But the significant numbers, in my view, were those that compared the prevalence of RYO smoking among the unemployed, 39.5 percent, with that among those in “other employment categories,” 21.8 percent.

    The Daily Mail piece quoted David Evans, a senior research officer at the Department of Public Health, as saying that higher tobacco taxes and prices had been proved to be the single most effective measure to reduce overall tobacco use. “However, the effectiveness of this measure will not be fully achieved if roll-your-own tobacco remains significantly cheaper than manufactured cigarettes,” he said.

    Of course, what Evans said could be put another way: Higher tobacco taxes and prices have been proved to be the single most effective measure for reducing the use of duty-paid tobacco. If you arrange things so that RYO tobacco is priced at the same level as are cigarettes, it will simply mean that more people shift directly from duty-paid cigarettes to black-market products, without taking the intermediate step of going to RYO tobacco. What Evans proposes is an excellent way of making financially poor people even poorer while handing more revenue to governments to spend on things that will please those more likely to vote.

    Holding their own

    While tax differentials remain in place, sales of RYO tobacco are going to react as in the past to the state of the economy in general and, in particular, to the financial situation of those who smoke. And, in recent times, with the financially poor having been impoverished further by the actions of incompetent bankers, sales of RYO tobacco have been holding up well in the markets where it is a significant product, especially when set against sales of cigarettes in those same markets. In 2016, the top 15 markets according to Euromonitor figures obtained by Essentra were Germany (36.19 billion stick equivalents), Belgium (12.87 billion), France (12.82 billion), the Netherlands (10.58 billion), the U.K. (9.87 billion), Hungary (9.53 billion), Spain (9.25 billion), Italy (7.98 billion), Greece (3.6 billion), Poland (3.5 billion), Argentina (3.04 billion), Australia (3.04 billion), the U.S. (2.97 billion), the Czech Republic (2.8 billion) and Israel (1.06 billion).

    But the RYO market is a mixed picture, according to Essentra, which supplies filters for cigarettes and RYO tobacco cigarettes. Essentra said Euromonitor figures indicated that, in 2011, worldwide RYO tobacco consumption stood at 139.32 billion stick equivalents and was expected in 2019 to reach 140.24 billion, roughly the same. But the 2011 figure was an increase of 4.9 percent on that of 2010, while the 2019 figure is expected to be down 0.7 percent on that of 2018.

    Increased taxation on cigarettes could help maintain sales of RYO tobacco, though this might be offset partially by the launch of more “value” brands of cigarettes. And sales of both cigarettes and RYO tobacco will likely be negatively affected by bans on smoking in public and, to a lesser extent, even private places, such as apartment blocks.

    But RYO tobacco sales could be given a nudge by the introduction of more sophisticated materials. There has been a lot of innovation in the papers sector, and filters offer another opportunity. Some RYO tobacco markets, such as India and Thailand, are still largely filter-less. And while in other markets RYO filters are mainly made of acetate, more complex filters are being introduced. Essentra, for instance, said it had supplied cavity, carbon and paper filters, the last of these being more degradable than acetate ones.

    Aiming high

    Some of this is encouraging, but the danger posed to the RYO tobacco sector by the closing of the tax gap between that levied on cigarettes and that levied on RYO tobacco cannot be overstated. There are people who smoke RYO tobacco for reasons of lifestyle, but they are far outnumbered by those who do so because it is cheaper.

    Having said that, there is at least one glimmer of hope should RYO tobacco find itself taxed out of its normal business. On June 13, Imperial Brands posted on its website a note announcing the appointment of Simon Langelier as an independent nonexecutive director of the company.

    In announcing the appointment, Imperial said that Langelier had significant international experience within the tobacco industry. “He held a number of senior commercial positions during a 30-year career with Philip Morris International, including in Latin America, Asia, Eastern Europe, [the] Middle East and Africa,” it said. “In addition, he was president of their next-generation products and adjacent businesses. Simon is chairman of PharmaCielo Ltd., a Canadian-based supplier of medicinal-grade cannabis oil extracts and related products.” In welcoming Langelier, Imperial’s chairman, Mark Williamson, said his extensive international experience in tobacco and “wider consumer adjacencies” would be a great asset to the board.

    The appointment created interest, at least partly because it seemed to chime with the change of name that Imperial went through in February last year—from Imperial Tobacco to Imperial Brands. In a piece for the Motley Fool, Dan Caplinger said Imperial’s move could signal the beginning of a “budding relationship between the tobacco and marijuana industries,” though he went on to give a number of reasons why this might not happen, for the time being at least. One reason was that there was a conflict in the U.S. because marijuana is illegal at the federal level but legal in certain states, which presents a huge impediment to the big players such as Altria and Reynolds American getting into the business.

    Nevertheless, Caplinger said that marijuana had become increasingly popular, as many states across the U.S. had legalized the drug for medical and/or recreational purposes, and more were considering doing so. Some investors had sought to cash in on the trend, but until now they had had only a limited number of investment choices available to them. Many had wondered whether Big Tobacco might eventually choose to get in on the legal marijuana business, “offering their shareholders an easier way to profit from the drug.”

    Leaving aside the medical marijuana question, it seems to make sense for Imperial at least to prepare to enter the recreational marijuana market wherever it is legal, partly because Europe might start to follow the North American trend toward a more liberal approach to the drug. In Europe, as I understand it, marijuana users, unlike those in the U.S., tend to mix marijuana with RYO tobacco. In fact, in a July 2015 piece on the Marijuana Games website titled “How Europe Is Getting It Wrong on Cannabis” (goo.gl/8kaScQ), Russ Hudson cited a report on the 2014 Global Drug Survey in which the authors, having sampled 38,000 marijuana users, concluded that while 7 percent of American marijuana users added tobacco to their marijuana, more than 80 percent of marijuana users from other countries did so as a matter of practice.

    The point here is that Imperial has a strong position on the international RYO tobacco and papers market, and it’s not difficult to imagine how tobacco and marijuana could be marketed—and even packaged—together.

    And things could move quickly. Poland’s lower house of parliament in June voted to make medicinal marijuana legal under certain circumstances, according to a Rappler story. A total of 440 lawmakers voted in favor—with just two against and one abstention—of legislation to allow prescription-only, cannabis-based medicine to be made at pharmacies using imported ingredients. The law still needs to be approved by the senate and the Polish president before it comes into force, but Poland has taken a tentative step toward following the Czech Republic, Finland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, 23 U.S. states and Uruguay.

    The Polish legislation excludes the recreational use of cannabis, but according to the Rappler story, an opinion survey conducted in January found that 78 percent of Poles believe access to marijuana should be legal. Even if it was the case that this 78 percent of the population was in favor only of legalizing the use of medicinal marijuana, it is not a huge hop to recreational use, as the U.S. has demonstrated.

    There are obstacles, however. According to a story in the London (Canada) Daily Mail, Ian Hamilton of Canada’s University of York has urged teenagers wanting to avoid long-term health risks to stop combining cannabis with tobacco. He noted that if it were accepted that millions of people would carry on using cannabis, then they should be encouraged to use cannabis in ways that avoided tobacco and minimized harm to their health. The story went on to quote researchers as saying that “cannabis has no solid links to cancer and only minimal ones pointing to an increased risk of heart disease.” I’m not too sure what is being said here. Is Hamilton saying that cannabis should be used, if at all, in chocolate brownies or by vaping cannabis oil? If so, what the researchers seem to be saying sounds plausible. But if Hamilton and the researchers are saying that all consumers need to do is cut out the tobacco, then I would be rather skeptical.

    Inhaling the products of combustion from any burning plant material just doesn’t seem to be a great idea from the point of view of lung health, though of course it would be necessary to look at how marijuana is smoked, how often and, no doubt, a lot of other issues. In addition, the story did concede that cannabis use could increase the risk of psychosis by damaging the brain.

    The story also mentioned that cannabis could be considered a gateway drug, with a recent study suggesting that users were 26 times more likely than nonusers to turn to “harder substances” by the time they turn 21. I don’t have any evidence about such matters, but I wonder whether this gateway effect has more to do with the fact that where marijuana use is illegal, users must mix with criminals who sell it and other illicit drugs. That does leave the possibility that if the use of marijuana were made legal, it would not have this gateway effect.

    The question of mixing marijuana and tobacco is an interesting one. One debate going on in the U.S. has to do with the legalization of marijuana cafes, such as those in the Netherlands. This raises the question—as it has previously in the Netherlands—of whether, given that some marijuana smokers mix marijuana with tobacco, marijuana holds the key to allowing tobacco smoking back inside. I mean, how much marijuana do you have to mix with your tobacco for it to be a joint?