BAT released its 2025 full-year pre-close trading update today (December 9), saying it expects around 2% revenue and adjusted operating profit growth in FY25, with New Category revenues accelerating to double-digit growth in H2 to deliver mid-single-digit growth for the full year. Performance is being led by the U.S., where stronger combustibles results and Velo Plus momentum are driving revenue and profit, with Velo Plus on track to be profitable for the full year. Early federal and state enforcement efforts against illicit vapor products are also supporting recent improvements in Vuse volumes and revenues.
Growth in New Categories is being driven primarily by Velo, now the “fastest-growing Modern Oral brand globally,” with strong share gains across priority markets and accelerating U.S. performance. While glo revenue remains broadly flat due to competitive pressure and platform transitions, the company is launching glo Hilo in premium heated tobacco markets. Vuse is showing improving H2 trends, supported by enforcement against illicit products, and early traction for the premium Vuse Ultra platform in Canada, Germany, and France, despite ongoing headwinds in the U.S. and Canada.
Looking ahead, the company remains confident in its mid-term growth targets from 2026, guiding for 3–5% revenue growth, 4–6% profit growth, and 5–8% EPS growth, with 2026 likely at the lower end of the range. Strong cash generation continues, with operating cash flow conversion expected to exceed 95% and leverage targeted to fall to 2.0–2.5x by end-2026. Capital returns remain a priority, with progressive dividends and an expanded £1.3bn share buyback program for FY26.
