Despite a 200% increase in duty rates, Pakistan’s Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) reported a 4.1% drop in Federal Excise Duty (FED) collection from the cigarette sector, falling to Rs225.5 billion ($789.3 million) in FY2024-25 from Rs235 billion ($822.5 million) the previous year. Officials attributed the decline to a growing illicit cigarette market, which continues to undermine tax collection.
The sector’s share in total FED revenue plunged from 40.7% in FY24 to 29.4% in FY25, highlighting enforcement challenges and the government’s struggle to curb illegal production and sales. Higher taxes have reportedly pushed consumers toward untaxed brands, further reducing formal industry revenue.
FBR officials warned that without stronger enforcement against illicit cigarette trade, the formal tobacco industry will continue to shrink, depriving the government of vital revenue for development and public health programs.



