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Tag: South Africa

  • South Africa: 80% of Smokers Back Risk-Based Regulation

    South Africa: 80% of Smokers Back Risk-Based Regulation

    A new survey among adult smokers in South Africa found strong support for risk-based tobacco regulation, with eight in 10 respondents backing policies that differentiate between cigarettes and less harmful alternatives. The research suggests that while 71% of smokers currently plan to continue smoking, improved access to accurate information and appropriately regulated smoke-free products could more than double switching rates, potentially enabling up to 3.3 million smokers to move away from cigarettes. The research was commissioned by Philip Morris International and conducted by a U.S. research firm, Povaddo.

    The findings also highlight significant awareness gaps, with up to 70% of smokers unfamiliar with alternatives such as nicotine pouches, and many citing health concerns and cost as barriers to switching. More than 80% said affordability, availability, and access to clear risk-reduction information would influence their decisions, while roughly three-quarters warned that overly restrictive policies could push consumers toward illicit products, underscoring the role of balanced regulation in shaping market outcomes.

  • Eight in ten adult smokers back risk-based tobacco regulation amid South Africa’s policy debate

    Eight in ten adult smokers back risk-based tobacco regulation amid South Africa’s policy debate

    Survey shows scientific evidence and local sentiment align: accurate information, proportionate regulation and access to scientifically substantiated smoke-free alternatives could accelerate South Africa’s progress away from cigarettes

    As South Africa debates new tobacco control legislation, new research by independent firm Povaddo shows that many smokers believe regulation should evolve with scientific evidence to better support adult smokers who do not quit altogether to move away from cigarettes.

    The findings form part of a broader multi-country survey conducted across several markets, revealing a consistent global trend: adult smokers are more likely to consider switching away from cigarettes when they have access to accurate information, and affordable alternatives supported by proportionate, risk-based regulation.

    An international survey commissioned by Philip Morris International (PMI) and conducted by independent research agency Povaddo in multiple countries including key markets in Europe, Latin America and Asia reveals that a majority of adult smokers across these regions share similar views mainly that innovation in smoke-free alternatives, combined with supportive policy frameworks, can accelerate declines in cigarette use. Moreover, respondents across the countries surveyed believe progress happens faster when governments, public health authorities and industry collaborate.

    The survey of adult smokers in South Africa found that eight in ten support risk-based regulation, where less harmful nicotine alternatives are regulated differently from cigarettes. Respondents believe this approach could accelerate progress in reducing smoking.

    The study highlights a clear message emerging from the research: many believe tobacco control policies should evolve alongside scientific evidence and provide adult smokers with accurate information about less harmful alternatives.

    Despite decades of tobacco control efforts, smoking remains a significant public health challenge in South Africa.

    The research suggests that 71% of smokers plan to continue smoking, while only 15% say they are interested in switching to smoke-free alternatives in the current regulatory environment.

    With an estimated 9.7 million smokers in South Africa, this suggests around 6.9 million people may continue smoking cigarettes unless policies better support switching for adults who would otherwise smoke.

    The research indicates that policy reform could significantly change this trajectory. In a  regulatory environment where adult smokers have accurate, science-based information on smoke-free alternatives and these products are regulated differently to cigarettes, the number of smokers willing to switch could more than double, potentially enabling up to 3.3 million South Africans to move away from cigarettes.

    This aligns with trends observed in several international markets, including Japan, where enabling regulatory environments have supported higher switching rates and accelerated declines in cigarette consumption, reinforcing the role policy can play in shaping public health outcomes.

    The study also identifies significant awareness gaps around smoke-free alternatives among South African smokers.

    Nearly 44% of smokers are unfamiliar with e-cigarettes, 65% are unfamiliar with heated tobacco products, and 70% are unfamiliar with nicotine pouches, suggesting many smokers lack basic information about smoke-free alternatives to cigarettes.

    Nearly 44% of smokers are unfamiliar with e-cigarettes, 65% are unfamiliar with heated tobacco products, and 70% are unfamiliar with nicotine pouches, highlighting low awareness of smoke-free alternatives among South African smokers. Therefore, the survey suggests that smokers don’t understand that SFPs are potentially much less harmful than cigarettes.

    Cigarette smoke contains more than 6,000 chemicals, around 100 of which are classified by public health authorities as harmful or potentially harmful. These substances are created through the combustion of tobacco – the burning process that is the primary cause of smoking‑related diseases. Nicotine itself, while addictive and not risk‑free, is not the main driver of these diseases. This crucial distinction is often poorly understood, reinforcing widespread misperceptions about the relative risks of smoke‑free alternatives.

    Among smokers not interested in alternatives, 43% cite health risk concerns, often linked to misinformation, while 28% say alternatives are too expensive.

    The research indicates that smokers are open to considering alternatives if the right conditions are in place.

    More than 80% of smokers say affordability and accessibility are key factors when considering smoke-free products.

    Specifically:

    • 82% say alternatives should be cheaper than cigarettes
    • 82% want them to be easily available in stores
    • 80% want product information at the point of sale
    • 78% want risk-reduction information to help them make informed choices

    These findings suggest that providing accurate information and improving access to science-based alternatives could play an important role in helping adults who would otherwise continue smoking, transition away from cigarettes.

    The research also highlights concerns among smokers about the potential unintended consequences of overly restrictive policies.

    Around three-quarters of respondents believe strict bans on smoke-free alternatives could push smokers toward cheaper illicit tobacco or nicotine products instead.

    Respondents also indicated that a regulatory approach recognising differences in risk between products could help reduce smoking while limiting the growth of illicit markets.

    Taken together, the findings point to a clear opportunity for South Africa: a modernised, evidence-based regulatory framework that differentiates between products, expands access to scientifically substantiated smoke-free alternatives, and prioritises accurate information could significantly accelerate the decline of cigarette use amongst adults who would otherwise smoke.

    Sensible regulation is needed – regulation that recognises the role scientifically substantiated smoke-free alternatives can play in helping adult smokers who would otherwise smoke to move away from cigarettes, while maintaining strong protections for youth and non-smokers.

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    About the study

    The findings are based on a survey conducted by independent research firm Povaddo between 28 March and 10 April 2025 among adult smokers in South Africa, examining perceptions of tobacco regulation, smoke-free alternatives and willingness to switch away from cigarettes.

  • Illicit Cigarettes Dominate South Africa’s Tobacco Market

    Illicit Cigarettes Dominate South Africa’s Tobacco Market

    Illicit cigarettes account for around 60% of South Africa’s market, according to new research from the University of Cape Town, highlighting a sharp rise from about 30% prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The study found the surge represents a structural shift in the industry, with major players losing share while local producers linked to low-priced products have expanded significantly, selling cigarettes at levels suggesting taxes are not being paid.

    The findings also show illicit products are concentrated in informal retail channels and are disproportionately consumed by lower-income, heavy smokers, driven by cheaper pricing. Researchers say the scale of the illicit trade is undermining tax revenues and reshaping market dynamics, with calls for stronger supply chain controls and enforcement measures to address the issue.

  • S. Africa Trying to Flip ‘Inadequate’ Illicit Tobacco Response

    S. Africa Trying to Flip ‘Inadequate’ Illicit Tobacco Response

    South Africa’s response to illicit tobacco remains inadequate, with legislative gaps, weak enforcement, and entrenched criminal networks that have been flourishing since the Covid-19 cigarette ban, Stefano Betti of the Transnational Alliance to Combat Illicit Trade said at the EMEA Security Conference in Cape Town. He said illicit cigarettes may now account for between 50% and 75% of the market, driven largely by local under-declaration of production to evade taxes, creating severe price distortions between legal and illegal products and fueling money laundering risks.

    While acknowledging progress such as the creation of the Border Management Authority, efforts by the National Prosecuting Authority, and South Africa’s exit from the Financial Action Task Force grey list, Betti stressed that political commitments must translate into operational results. Echoing the call for stronger action, Kobus Lategan of the South African Police Service said authorities are preparing a large, intelligence-led national operation under direction from Cyril Ramaphosa to target illicit trade and counterfeit goods through coordinated enforcement across agencies and with private-sector support.

  • S. Africa Exempts Smokeless Tobacco from New Regs

    S. Africa Exempts Smokeless Tobacco from New Regs

    South Africa’s Department of Health plans to exempt non-combustible and smokeless tobacco products such as snus, chewing tobacco, nicotine pouches, and e-cigarettes from key provisions of the Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery Systems Control Bill, according to Times Live. Deputy Director-General Jeanette Hunter said the exemption reflects their lower toxic profile, though rules will still restrict misleading claims, shapes, and descriptors to protect children.

    Parliamentary debate raised cultural and enforcement concerns, with the African Transformation Movement’s Vuyo Zungula calling for clear exemptions for traditional snuff use, and Freedom Front Plus’ Philippus van Staden citing limited law enforcement and border controls. Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi clarified that cultural use of combustible tobacco is rare, while Hunter highlighted that smoking remains prohibited in public spaces, with compliance largely enforced by public awareness rather than police presence.

  • Article: Ripple Effect of Restrictive Tobacco Regulations in S. Africa

    Article: Ripple Effect of Restrictive Tobacco Regulations in S. Africa

    South Africa’s 2020 tobacco ban, intended to reduce smoking-related health risks during the COVID-19 pandemic, drove legal sales underground and opened the door for illicit products that today account for as much as 75% of the market, according to law graduate Mukundi Budeli, writing for the Rational Standard and republished by the Free Market Foundation. Budeli said the shift cost the government tens of billions in lost tax revenue, fueled organized crime, and exposed consumers to unregulated and potentially more harmful products.

    He also said the policy hastened the departure of British American Tobacco, which announced the closure of its Heidelberg plant by the end of 2026, which will directly affect 230 employees and is expected to ripple across the broader tobacco value chain, impacting up to 35,000 jobs. Budeli argues that the crisis illustrates the unintended consequences of overly restrictive regulation and calls for a re-evaluation of South Africa’s approach to tobacco policy. He suggests that future governance should strike a balance between public health objectives, economic stability, and individual freedoms to prevent similar market distortions.

    The Free Market Foundation emphasizes that the situation serves as a warning to policymakers about the dangers of regulatory overreach and the need for pragmatic, accountable, and market-aware legislation in the tobacco sector.

  • Vape Industry Unconvinced by S. Africa’s Tobacco Bill Changes

    Vape Industry Unconvinced by S. Africa’s Tobacco Bill Changes

    The Vapor Products Association of South Africa reiterated concerns over the Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery System Control Bill, arguing that it fails to recognize vaping products as a harm-reduction tool and does not differentiate adequately between cigarette and vape users. While the Department of Health of South Africa has indicated willingness to ease packaging rules, including graphic health warnings, for non-combustible products, VPASA warns that similar punishments could still apply to both combustible and non-combustible users, potentially discouraging smokers from switching to less harmful alternatives.

    The bill, first introduced in 2022, regulates the use, marketing, advertising, and trade of tobacco and electronic delivery systems, including e-cigarettes and vaping pods. Public hearings between 2023 and 2025 saw participation from 7,900 individuals with 1,113 oral submissions, showing mixed opinions: 44.9% in support, 44.5% opposed, 1.3% partially supportive, and 9.3% undeclared. The portfolio committee is yet to vote on the bill’s desirability, while discussions continue over how to implement clear differentiation between combustible and non-combustible products to ensure vaping is recognized as a distinct, lower-risk category.

  • Concerns Loom Over S. Africa Tobacco Control Bill

    Concerns Loom Over S. Africa Tobacco Control Bill

    South Africa’s tobacco policy debate sharpened this week after Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana used his Budget speech to warn that illicit trade is inflicting serious damage on the economy, while hours later the Department of Health faced pointed pushback in Parliament over whether its Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery Systems Control Bill adequately addresses that crisis. Appearing before the Portfolio Committee on Health, officials defended the Bill’s public health rationale, arguing it does not ban cigarettes and that smoking imposes greater economic costs than it generates. However, MPs from multiple parties pressed the Department on estimates that as much as 70% of the cigarette market may be illicit, questioning whether the proposed measures meaningfully target the dominant illegal segment.

    Lawmakers repeatedly raised concerns about enforcement capacity, proportionality, and the risk that additional regulatory burdens — such as plain packaging and stricter penalties — could further advantage criminal syndicates if illicit trade remains unchecked. The Department leaned on international precedent and South Africa’s obligations under the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control, while some MPs called for greater differentiation between combustible and non-combustible products and more realistic alignment with local enforcement realities.

  • BAT Closure Leading S. Africa to ‘Warehouse Economy’

    BAT Closure Leading S. Africa to ‘Warehouse Economy’

    The South African Federation of Trade Unions (SAFTU) warned that South Africa is sliding toward a “warehouse economy” following British American Tobacco’s decision to shut its Heidelberg manufacturing plant and shift to imports. SAFTU General Secretary Zwelinzima Vavi said the closure would cost around 200 direct jobs and thousands more indirectly, arguing it reflects a broader pattern of deindustrialization as multinational companies scale back local production.

    SAFTU urged Parliament to halt the Tobacco Control Bill in its current form, warning it could further weaken legal tobacco manufacturers while strengthening illicit trade, which Vavi said already accounts for roughly 75% of cigarette sales. BAT cited rampant illegal cigarettes as a key factor behind the closure, noting that illicit trade has weighed on its South African operations and financial performance. SAFTU is calling for a full socioeconomic impact assessment of the bill, while BAT has pushed for stronger enforcement and a minimum retail price to curb illegal sales.

  • South Africa’s Tobacco and Vaping Bill Still Likely a Year Away

    South Africa’s Tobacco and Vaping Bill Still Likely a Year Away

    South Africa’s Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery Systems Control Bill is unlikely to become law for at least another year, with further delays expected for implementing regulations, according to Professor Lekan Ayo-Yusuf of the University of Pretoria. The bill, first drafted in 2018 and reintroduced in 2022, has faced prolonged parliamentary delays that he attributes to disinformation, political distraction, and a lack of urgency.

    Ayo-Yusuf warned that the slow pace benefits the tobacco and vaping industry by leaving a regulatory vacuum as vaping and other nicotine alternatives gain popularity among young people. While acknowledging the need to address illicit cigarette trade, Ayo-Yusuf stressed that tobacco regulation is fundamentally a public health issue, not a trade-off between health and the economy. The bill has recently gained vocal support from the uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) Party, which described it as pro-poor and pro-development, arguing that strong tobacco control reduces healthcare burdens and protects public welfare, while illicit trade should be tackled through enforcement rather than weakened health laws.