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  • IEA Publishes its Annual Nanny State Index

    IEA Publishes its Annual Nanny State Index

    Image: IEA

    The Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) has published its Nanny State Index, an annual evaluation ranking Europe’s worst places to eat, drink, smoke and vape.

    The IEA’s home country, the U.K., ranks No. 11 on the list. While the U.K. has the most restrictive tobacco regulation in Europe, it has some of the most liberal policies on e-cigarettes.

    Turkiye is listed as the most restrictive place in Europe to eat, smoke, drink and vape, and Germany is the most liberal in these aspects.

    “With the U.K. introducing some of the world’s most nannying policies on food, it’s no surprise to see it rising up the league table against stiff competition,” said report author Christopher Snowdon, who heads the department of lifestyle economics at the Institute of Economic Affairs. “The U.K. scores poorly in every category except e-cigarettes, where it is the best in show.

    “Scotland and Wales drag down the overall score by having minimum pricing for alcohol, and the U.K. as a whole is the worst place in Europe to be a smoker.

    “With alcohol taxes rising sharply this year and more food regulation to come, things will only get worse,” Snowdon said.

  • Retailers Seek Clarity on Vapor Products

    Retailers Seek Clarity on Vapor Products

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    U.S. retail associations have asked the Food and Drug Administration to provide them with list of e-cigarettes and vape products that are legal to market, reports NACS.

    In October 2021, NACS and five other retail associations sent a letter to the FDA asking the agency to publish the names of vapor products for which it has taken action. In their letters to FDA, the associations expressed the critical nature of this list for their retail members who need to know which products are legal to sell and which are not.

    The FDA formally responded in January 2022, stating that it understands the retail groups request for specific names of products and that the agency is working to update the list with final actions taken on individual products, including those that received MDOs.

    “Given the large number of products involved, sharing this information requires additional time and resources so that the Agency does not disclose confidential commercial information (CCI) about products that are not yet marketed,” stated the agency.

    In a more recent letter to the FDA, the associations said they “can appreciate the immense task of reviewing millions of applications. However, there remains widespread confusion in the marketplace as to which products can remain on shelves and which need to be removed.”

    “While Director Zeller encouraged retailers to contact manufacturers with any questions about products in their inventory, this is not an adequate or fair solution. It places the burden on retailers to verify the marketing status of ENDS and vape products with the manufacturers. Many of our members are small operators who do not have the resources or bandwidth to contact the manufacturers,” wrote the associations.

     “Moreover, manufacturers providing a list does not guarantee accuracy or give the assurance that a verified list from the Agency would give. These retailers stand to face enforcement if they are out of compliance with the law and the only way to ensure they can comply is if they have a verified list from the agency.”

  • Innovative Focus

    Innovative Focus

    Photos: Timothy Donahue

    TabExpo returned to the nicotine show circuit in Bologna, Italy, in May with innovative industry insights.

    TR Staff Report

    TabExpo is back. Since the inception of TabExpo in 1994, the industry trade show has provided exhibitors and visitors with interests in the nicotine industry an elite opportunity to showcase their products and network among contemporaries. This year, TabExpo was held at the BolognaFiere in Bologna, Italy, May 10–11, and visitors and exhibitors alike said the show exceeded their expectations.

    In November 2019, TabExpo was acquired by U.K.-based Quartz Business Media, owner and organizer of the largest network of tobacco and nicotine-related exhibitions and conferences in the world. This year’s event was attended by over 100 exhibitors and more than 2,000 visitors representing all aspects of traditional and next-generation nicotine products from leaf suppliers to e-liquid manufacturers.

    TabExpo is much more than a typical tobacco tradeshow. One highlight of TabExpo 2023 was its Innovations in Tobacco conference. The sessions mainly focused on the future of the nicotine industry and the roles sustainability and modernization will play. The congress sessions were often standing room only. Below is an overview of the sessions and the insights shared by the numerous speakers.

    Keynote: Flora Okereke, head of global regulatory insights and foresights at BAT

    Conversations on the regulatory environment in the nicotine industry can be complicated. During her keynote, Flora Okereke, head of global regulatory insights and foresights at BAT, told attendees that regulation is important because many of the industry’s tobacco harm reduction goals can be enhanced by the policy environment. However, regulation can also create an obstacle.

    Okereke said that beyond regulatory policy, innovation is driving the transformation from both within the manufacturing supply chain and the retail sector. “In the past year, there has been a huge upheaval as a result of innovation, as a result of acquisitions, as a result of what we are doing in a journey to transform our industry,” she said. “You can see this in the amount of products that are new and coming to the markets, and the technologies that are coming up, and the kind of ways that we are monitoring environmental issues.”

    Additionally, the nicotine industry is no longer made up exclusively by major tobacco companies. Most of the innovations, such as e-cigarettes, were developed by entities outside the traditional tobacco sector. When considering the regulatory environment for next-generation products, Okereke said that regulators should not regulate blindly and must take the time to consider the impacts regulation can have on harm reduction goals.

    “I will say that because of the transformation, because of the eagerness for us to move from smoking tobacco to our newer products, expectations that are being made without proper milestones are going to create problems,” she explained. “I can [also] tell you regulation, while it is not something that you do daily, it’s a critical accelerant—a critical catalyst for our industry. It can derail what we are doing, but also, it can support a moving forward. This is why we have to not ignore it and put our head under the table but to face it squarely and be constructive as to how we look at it.”

    One of the potentially most impactful regulatory decisions being considered that could affect nicotine is environmental policy. Okereke said that environmental protection is now at the top of everyone’s agenda: many governments, many nongovernmental organizations, and it’s a public policy priority. There is even an environmental meeting at the global level being held by the United Nations trying to formulate a treaty similar to the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control  that, when it comes to plastics, is probably going to change our industry, she said.

    “The tobacco control advocates are calling on the prohibition of filters, on disposables, on the treatment of waste,” said Okereke. “This is happening not just at a global level; it is happening in most of the markets. So the sector needs to work together in a constructive manner to agree and determine how it responds to what is coming,” she said. However, if governments can put in place a regulation that permits companies to give clear communications to consumers to help them understand the relative risk of various products, that kind of regulation would be a catalyst that should work for everyone.

    “If the regulator would look at some of these new products … and understand that the relative risk means that they could be incentivized, maybe in a fiscal way, that will enable adults who would like to move away from smoking to make that movement because we all believe that what they want, what society wants and to some degree what some smokers want, or our consumers, is to have the choice to move to a reduced-risk product,” said Okereke.

    Another major issue driving regulation is concern about youth access, especially in relation to next-generation products such as disposable vaping devices. “It’s almost the underpinning reason that justifies why regulators are taking very extreme measures,” said Okereke. “And I think it’s important that we look at it. I think it’s important that we find a solution that addresses this issue,” she said. “It is also because of this, the regulators say, [that] issues like flavors are being treated negatively. Whether you are a manufacturer or a person in the supply chain, [it] is important that we find the right solution to address [youth access].”

    Okereke also discussed the latest regulatory trend: tobacco “endgame” legislation, which is a tool to end the use of tobacco. Unfortunately, some countries are looking beyond tobacco and using that concept to call for an end to nicotine in any form. “Please don’t ignore the endgame scenario and think that it refers only to cigarettes,” she cautioned. “It doesn’t.”

    In the end, Okereke said that all sectors of the nicotine industry must join together to fight for sensible harm reduction policies that drive consumers away from combustible tobacco products. Now is the time to work together to give the government a single message that less risky nicotine products have a role to play in smoking cessation, she insisted. “We need to defend and protect that space for all of us, especially during the upcoming COP10 in Panama later this year,” she said.

    Okereke also urged the industry to stress to regulators the value of harm-reduction products ahead of the WHO gathering. “I think it is time for you to use your access to your government,” she said. “Remember, the parties are the ones mandated to make decisions at this meeting. Countries have the mandate to raise their voice and their opinion.”

    Keynote: Patrick Basham, director of the Democracy Institute

    Communication is a problem in harm reduction circles. During his keynote address, Patrick Basham, director of the Democracy Institute, said that many medical professionals, consumers and anti-nicotine campaigners believe the narrative that all nicotine products are dangerous. Furthermore, many of these people wrongly believe that nicotine rather than the chemicals released during combustion causes cancer. They believe this, said Basham, because anti-tobacco harm reduction lobbyists have told them so.

    “These lobbyists have told them [these misconceptions] are true because they don’t trust tobacco and nicotine consumers with the truth, so they must alter it for them,” said Basham. “Now, it’s indeed true that most well-funded public health institutions and stakeholders are rabidly anti-tobacco harm reduction. The World Health Organization is the most clear-cut example. You’ve got billionaire philanthropists funding global campaigns that, in concert with the WHO, incentivized national governments and their public health agencies to ignore or to disparage tobacco harm reduction’s demonstrated ability to improve public health.”

    Many consumers, meanwhile, are either uninformed or ill-informed about tobacco harm reduction, and the specific products central to its implementation. Basham said that the ignorance is deeply frustrating because prohibitionist politicians, philanthropists, regulators, public health organizations and academics have consciously erected barriers to better consumer understanding of harm reduction products.

    Even more frustrating is that the governments of many smaller-sized and medium-sized nations look to organizations such as the WHO, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the EU for case studies, regulatory models, bureaucratic signals and political cover regarding tobacco harm reduction. However, what “our rulers and rule regulators say and what people believe about tobacco harm reduction and reduced-risk products is neither the actual truth nor the entire truth,” said Basham. “The good news about tobacco harm reduction is that the bad news is wrong.”

    According to Basham, the tobacco harm reduction experience is a positive story. Although it’s hard to be fair and balanced about tobacco harm reduction politics, the reality is that some steps taken by governments and public health bodies have empowered tobacco harm reduction while other steps have retarded its progress, he said.

    A good many countries, international institutions and public health organizations are employing and advocating for tobacco harm reduction policies and proven strategies to reduce cigarette consumption. Many governments have adopted quite sophisticated harm reduction strategies and policy prescriptions. To date, nearly 70 countries have adopted regulatory frameworks on reduced-risk products, and an enormous number and variety of electronic nicotine-delivery system products are in the marketplace, with nearly 16,000 flavors available and global sales rising to more than $15 billion. Heated-tobacco products are available in over 50 markets worldwide.

    “Only one Western democracy—Australia—still illogically and irrationally requires its citizens to possess a nicotine prescription to vape,” according to Basham. “Snus is legally bought in 81 countries. Reduced-risk products are already being used by 112 million people worldwide, with approximately 82 million vapers, 20 million heated-tobacco users and 10 million smokeless tobacco users,” he said, citing statistics from a Democracy Institute study. “The evidence in favor of tobacco harm reduction as a complementary intervention to help drive down death and disease from smoking is, I suggest to you, robust.”

    All the countries that adopted a regulatory framework for less risky nicotine products subsequently reported a dramatic decline in smoking prevalence. Countries that embrace vaping have witnessed a decrease in smoking rates that is twice as fast as the global average. “We now have extensive international evidence that vaping is the world’s most effective smoking cessation tool. Snus’ extensive contribution to improvements in Swedish public health is well documented,” he explains. “Let me just highlight that over the last 15 years, Sweden slashed smoking rates from 15 [percent] to 5.6 percent. The EU’s average smoking rate, meanwhile, is 23 percent, 4.5 times higher than Sweden.”

    When Norway allowed snus products to be more widely available, cigarette smoking fell by half in just 10 years. Japan’s tobacco harm reduction policies have led to a remarkable drop in cigarette smoking. In October 2020, the smoking rate in Japan dropped to a record low of 16.7 percent. Between 2016 and 2021, domestic combustible cigarette sales in Japan declined by 43 percent. This decline was directly attributable to the availability of heated-tobacco products, according to Basham.

    “So, tobacco harm reduction truly is a refreshingly good news story. That’s the reason governments around the world are increasingly placing tobacco harm reduction at the heart of their anti-smoking strategies. Governments should legalize the import, export, sales, possession and use of reduced-risk products,” said Basham. “Reduced-risk products should be as widely available as tobacco products and available without a prescription.”

    Panel: Reinventing for Sustainability

    Solutions to environmental concerns are not individual contributions but are built upon a series of interlocking breakthroughs and tweaks. That presents an almost composite picture of progress in the nicotine industry. Chris Greer, CEO of TMA, expressed this notion as moderator for the panel “Reinventing for Sustainability.” The discussion centered on how innovations are at the forefront of producing sustainable nicotine products from packaging to production to distribution to consumption.

    Everyone touched on new product innovation and that it will take the entire nicotine industry to work together to achieve many sustainability goals. Packaging, for example, transcends all consumer products. Innovations in packaging can help nearly all consumer product companies achieve a percentage of ESG goals. “In packaging, we have to react and change because of the pressure from the government or the environment,” said Michael Pierse, sales director at IRPLAST. “In 2018 and 2019, in the plastics industry, in our company, we all of a sudden realized that sustainability and environmental impact was no longer just something difficult we’re talking about, but it had to be enacted.”

    There is no cigarette company that would allow cigarettes to be sold unpackaged without wrapping film to guarantee the consumer receives the product in the same state it was when it came out from the factory (although they cannot prevent retailers in many developing countries from selling cigarettes by the stick to smokers with low disposable incomes).

    “We were faced with a challenge. Our product is fossil-based. Every kilogram of polypropylene film made from fossil fuels emits between 3.5 [kg] and 4 kg of carbon dioxide into the environment. That’s a very heavy fossil footprint to be addressed,” said Pierse, who highlighted his company’s NOPP (natural oriented polypropylene) tape, a new generation of high-performing and eco-friendly adhesive tapes manufactured with 50 percent recycled materials.

    There has been progress, too, on the front of filters, which remain one of the most commonly littered items on the planet. Filtrona CEO Robert Pye said his company has 10,000 future filter designs in a storage facility at its innovation center. He said that Filtrona is committed to more degradable and sustainable products. The higher degradability and nonplastic options of its ECO range is clear evidence of this commitment, he said. At TabExpo, Filtrona debuted its latest plastic-free innovation, the ECO Tube Triple Carbon Filter.

    “We’re all on the journey together,” said Pye. “So even in our traditional filters, we have very good partners that we also develop traditional cigarette filters with reduced carbon effects and increased sustainability. A real game changer is the ECO range. This is something that we can see that can definitely transform the industry.”

    ECO range is born out of partnerships with Filtrona’s customers and suppliers. There are many different forms that Filtrona can move forward with its filter technology, but Pye said the ECO range will help both his company and the traditional cigarette manufacturers it supplies meet ESG goals.

    “I know from our sales and through China we’re seeing probably half of our developments now based in sustainable products within our range. Our customers are driving us that way,” said Pye. “We are seeing different sorts of materials supplies and equipment supplies which will help us progress further in the journey to supply more of the ECO range. Of course, to get all of these plans together in the [necessary] scale is something we need to work through as well.”

    Schweitzer-Mauduit International (SWM), too, has been working to improve the sustainability of its products. Last year, the company launched Evolute, a fiber-based filtering media. Alice Jaussaud, product manager in the engineered papers division at SWM, said that the company has observed an acceleration of the demand for alternative solutions that is reinforced by societal trends toward sustainability. “We can say that, in terms of innovation, we do whatever is possible or in our control to make it happen,” she said. “And then it is about working together; it is a lot about partnerships.”

    Also discussing filters, Luis Sanches of Greenbutts said that of the more than 5 trillion cigarettes produced globally each year, the majority end up in the environment after consumption. Cigarette butts are the most littered plastic item on earth. While most of a cigarette’s components quickly disintegrate when smoked or disposed of, the filter will stick around for some time. Around 98 percent of cigarette filters comprise cellulose acetate (CA), a polymer that is slow to degrade in the environment. It can take up to 14 years for a CA filter to degrade, depending on the conditions of the environment where it has been discarded.

    One challenge, according to Sanches, is ensuring that a better biodegradable filter doesn’t change the user experience. “We want the consumers to have the same or even better experience that they have currently,” said Sanches. “This is pretty much our mission.”

    Greenbutts spent almost a decade designing and developing filters that provide comparable taste and filtration properties as current CA filters but will disperse in water within several minutes with agitation and begin to degrade in compost within several days, according to Sanches. “You don’t want your wine to be affected by the glass that you’re drinking. And you don’t want your pasta or your lasagna to be affected by the plate it’s served on. The same thing for a cigarette,” he said. “Nobody wants the filter to alter their taste of the cigarette.”

    The machinery producing the filters is integral to helping companies meet their ESG goals. Montrade has led the way in making machines for sustainable products with production speeds of 5,000 filters per minute. It is also creating sustainable packaging solutions, according to Antonella Giannini, co-founder and sales director of Montrade.

    “Montrade always strives to develop for the ever-changing and fast-approaching future,” she said. “We work to provide the means for the industry to transition into the next generation of environmentally focused products, including biodegradable filters and plastic-free alternatives for multiple product categories,” she said when discussing her company’s partnership with Greenbutts. “When designing for the ocean and environmental sustainability, our innovations in paper filter technology along with novel plant-based technology, such as the Greenbutts’ water-dispersing substrate, will work together to meet the requirements of the European Union’s Single-Use Plastics Directive.”

    Summarizing the session, Greer stated that, fundamentally, meeting ESG goals is about trust. “The most important ingredient in all of the things that you are doing is trust; the trust that you have between yourselves and your clients, the trust that you have with your internal teams,” he observed.

    Keynote: Tim Phillips, managing director of Tamarind Intelligence

    The global e-cigarette is worth more than $50 billion. There are also now more than 100 million vapers worldwide, according to Tim Phillips, managing director at Tamarind Intelligence. This year marks the 10th anniversary of Wells Fargo Managing Director Bonnie Herzog’s famous prediction that vaping products would overtake the combustible cigarette market. Herzog’s prediction was bold, said Phillips, adding that she could not have imagined the regulatory firestorm suffered by vaping products.

    Phillips noted that in another 10 years, Herzog could prove to be correct, however. “I was doing some very back-of-the-envelope calculations this morning, but I think if you give it another 10 years, we might well get there,” he said. “We’ve got combustible cigarettes slowing down in pretty much all Western markets. We’re seeing growth rates in some of these novel nicotine products in the 10s or many more percent points per year. And over a period of 10 years, I think we may well see [combustibles] replaced. I think my message to you is just be really careful of that. I think we’re going to see a massive acceleration of alternatives for nicotine products, and we will see a replacement of combustible tobacco over time. It’s just a matter of time.”

    Next-generation nicotine products come in three dominant varieties: nicotine pouches, heated-tobacco products and vaping products. Phillips said the segment is growing fast but at different rates in different areas of the world. It’s also very fragmented. “It’s completely different to traditional combustible cigarettes,” he said. “The market is growing in all sorts of different ways, and there are enormous opportunities to benefit from some of that growth. Consider nicotine pouches … we’ve got a fragmented market in a similar kind of format to vape about seven [years] to 10 years ago. There are more than 50 brands in some of the markets, including in European markets. And we’ve got more than 500 products in each of these markets. That’s a huge amount of fragmentation.”

    Phillips said his organization, which provided the data for his keynote address, originally thought the nicotine pouch would be an interesting product for consumers who are already using chew tobacco products in the U.S. or a snus product in the Nordic countries. “What we’re seeing is this product category is really of interest to consumers in all sorts of markets, and we see lots of crossover with other types of products,” he said.

    According to Phillips, the data shows a lot of multi-usage with next-generation nicotine products, especially pouches. “Consumers have moved from a mono market where the only way to have nicotine was to smoke cigarettes or another type of combustible tobacco,” he said. “We’re moving into a world where that’s completely different, where there are multiple ways of using products. And what we’re finding is the consumers are faced with a huge choice of different types of products and using many of them at the same time.”

    Such fragmentation is less evident in the market for heated-tobacco products. According to Phillips, the data shows huge growth in the number of compatible products. Many of them are hardware, and many of the vape companies’ manufacturers in China are now also manufacturing compatible heating tobacco hardware.

    “We’ve seen a massive growth in the number of compatible heat sticks, and many of them are nontobacco-containing—made out of tea, made out of various other products,” said Phillips. More products are competing with the major tobacco companies’ heated-tobacco brands, and Phillips said one of the reasons this is happening is regulation.

    “In Europe, as many of you know, we’ve got a directive banning flavors for heated-tobacco products. It needs to be implemented in European member states, and it is brought into their local law by July this year, and it should be implemented from October,” he said. “We’ve got a couple of countries that have implemented the flavor ban, but there are plenty of countries that have [not].”

    In the world of vaping, Phillips said that massive growth is happening in the disposable products segment. This started in the U.S. After the FDA banned vape shops from selling flavored prefilled pods, disposables began to take over the market. Today, there are thousands of new disposable products in the market. It is also the segment most blamed, after the fall of Juul, for the rise in youth vaping. Phillips said disposables drove the youth uptick, not flavors as most regulators would claim.

    “What I’m saying is it’s not really flavors that are driving this. But it is something where youth are using disposable products much more than an older age group,” he said. “We’re seeing those that initiate with vaping; we’re starting to see a younger age group come through and initiate into vape. Of course, that’s going to happen as the sector grows … the predominant product that those age groups are using is the disposable product,” said Phillips. “There is a correlation, if you like, between disposables and youth. And there’s no getting away from it. I think the industry just needs to face up to that.”

    Keynote: Simon Clark, director of FOREST

    If people want to smoke, they should be allowed to smoke. It’s not illegal to smoke cigarettes or vape or eat a giant cake. Today, even when there are consumer panels, every speaker tends to be an advocate of vaping. Current smokers in defense of smoking, like Simon Clark, are conspicuous by their absence. Simon Clark, director of FOREST, explained that during a tobacco conference last year, one of the first speakers got a round of applause when he told the audience that it had been six years since he had successfully quit smoking.

    “Now, just think about that for a moment. A keynote speaker at a tobacco industry event is applauded for having stopped smoking. Now, for a moment, I thought I’d stumbled into a meeting of addicts anonymous,” said Clark.  

    FOREST, the Freedom Organization for the Right to Enjoy Smoking Tobacco, was founded in 1979. Clark said that the organization fully accepts the health risks of smoking but insists that the debate is not just about health. It’s also about freedom of choice, personal responsibility, risk and the infantilization of society.

    “We therefore represent adults who know about the health risks of smoking but choose to smoke and don’t want to quit,” said Clark. “We also represent former smokers like myself. People who are tolerant of smoking believe that smokers are unfairly discriminated against and are opposed to excessive regulations on consumer products such as alcohol, tobacco and sugary drinks. I’m often asked why, as a nonsmoker, I defend the rights and interests of confirmed smokers. By this, I mean smokers who don’t want to stop. I try to explain that I genuinely think smokers are treated appallingly these days, whether it’s comprehensive smoking bans, punitive taxation, creeping prohibition or the general denormalization of a perfectly legal habit.”

    Clark said that even at tobacco industry events, the thinking appears to be that anti-smoking campaigns and legislation don’t affect nonsmokers. Or people believe it’s impossible to win the battle, so just ignore the war. The problem with that attitude is that it invites advocates of the nanny state to move on to issues such as alcohol and food. “Some call this the slippery slope,” said Clark. “We’ve been warning people about this for more than 20 years. I think you’ll appreciate [that] it’s actually happening because alcohol is under increasing attack, as is the type of things that we choose to eat.”

    Twenty years ago, no government and relatively few politicians enjoyed being pigeonholed as a supporter of the nanny state. Public smoking bans changed the narrative because although they didn’t join most of the public support at the time of their introduction, smoking bans are now talked about as an allegedly popular example of the nanny state and action, said Clark.

    “A narrative has also developed suggesting that smoking bans have been an enormous success. We’re told that cafes and bars are no longer the horrible smoky environment of old, that smoking rates fell [because of] smoking bans. And public health has dramatically improved. Although there is relatively little evidence to support that thesis,” said Clark. “Nevertheless, the so-called success of public smoking bans around the world has clearly encouraged public health campaigns and governments to press on with other restrictive measures. Many anti-smoking policies are presented as examples of a benign nanny state that wants to help people make the right choices. However, there is nothing benign about it. We are increasingly living in a bully state in which education has been replaced by coercion and compulsion.”

    According to Clark, there is nothing fair or benign about the current rates of taxation on tobacco. The current rate of tax on an average pack of cigarettes in the U.K., for example, is about 86 percent. The aim is to force smokers to quit, but it discriminates against those on low incomes. Sometimes if people don’t quit, it can force fervent poverty. Again, this is the mark of a police state.

    “In my view, tobacco control is no longer about public health,” said Clark. “Nicotine is a drug; so is alcohol; so is caffeine. But people choose to consume these products. No one is forced to smoke tobacco, drink alcohol or consume caffeine. The anti-smoking campaigners also argue that the tobacco industry targets children. The truth is that many teenagers like to experiment. Many [youth] experiment with alcohol, some with tobacco, and more recently, e-cigarettes. I don’t condone it, but it’s called growing up. In my experience, most of the attacks on the tobacco industry have nothing to do with health. It’s politics, pure and simple.”

     

    PANEL: Next-Generation Products: Delivering Innovation

    Innovation isn’t a light switch. It isn’t a process that happens suddenly. During a panel discussion on the topic, Jackie Zhuang, president of Macau Chongva Tobacco Factory, said that an easy way to understand innovation is to look at patents. As of the end of April, the estimated accumulated patents for vaping products from the four largest manufacturers in Europe plus Juul Labs was 69,500 patents, according to Zhuang. The number for the top 15 Chinese factories combined is an estimated 24,239.

    “The Chinese e-cigarette industry is working very hard to catch up in the fields of patent,” said Zhuang. “And the number we have from last year will be Chinese e-cigarette companies combined; we have 60 to 100 patents applied last year. And outside China, only 2,800,” explained Zhuang. “The innovation came from the manpower invested in Chinese e-cigarette companies (where an estimated 6,000 researchers are working in the e-cigarette industry).”

    China has long been the epicenter of e-cigarette manufacturing. Modern e-cigarettes were born there, and Shenzhen is home to 90 percent of all e-cigarette manufacturing worldwide. Zhuang said that Chinese manufacturers don’t often create new products; they specialize in making innovative products better. Zhuang said that for Chinese manufacturers, innovation is driven by their customers. “The customer wants something, and we offer a lot of [options] for the consumer,” he said. “When international brand owners try to develop their brands, they are [surprised at the types of innovations we can offer] their customers.”

    Phoebe Dong, regional marketing manager for Heaven Gifts, a major vaping industry manufacturer based in Shenzhen, agreed with Zhuang that most innovation is driven by the consumer. She said it is also driven by the maturation of research and development. She said that the end user doesn’t often know how technology in materials improves the function and the performance of vaping products. The consumer only sees the finished product and not the progressive innovations.

    “Competitive pressure can also drive companies to innovate to maintain their market position,” said Dong. “The emergence of new products and technologies … industry trends, technology trends, market trends and consumer trends all make an impact on innovation.” There are “two forces pulling there …. It’s competitive pressure and then it’s also your internal passion. You want to make a better product; you want to improve things.”

    Regulation also has an impact on innovation. Ian Fearon from McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors said that when creating new products, innovators must understand what the product’s potential impact on public health is. Then they need to look at the regulatory environment and which markets they want to go into.

    “Is it a permissive environment, such as the U.K. or some of the European countries? Is it a market that is very difficult to get into, such as the United States? And then with both of those aspects together, developing a rigorous assessment framework with which you can assess that innovation, generate the data which the regulators require for you to place that product on the market and then conduct those studies,” explained Fearon. “Use scientific experts to interpret the data, to translate that data into something that the regulator can understand and will want to approve for the market. Conduct those studies and then push the data out to the regulator.”

    Fearon said that to get new products through the regulatory process, innovators need to tell the story of a product so that the regulator understands the product and its potential impact. He said much of McKinney’s work is in creating that narrative, which takes complex scientific data and translates it into something tangible that the regulator can understand.

    “It comes from taking the clinical data, the TOPS data, the chemistry, taking any clinical data, nicotine absorption studies, taking any behavioral data, such as intentions to use studies,” said Fearon. “And integrating all of that into a narrative, which gives FDA information on the public health imperative of the innovator, which is really what FDA is looking for. If you market this product in the United States, will it improve public health? And it’s an unusually complex area, and it takes great expertise to integrate all of those very different and complex scientific disciplines into a single story. And I think the other thing you have to bear in mind as well with FDA is that they are looking, as far as I can tell, for you to provide words that they can put in their authorization letter … it’s almost like you have to help FDA make the decision that you ultimately make with the narrative and provide them with a sub-narrative that they can tell to the American public.”

    While innovation may be easier in countries with less stringent paths to market, bringing products to market in the U.S. is only getting more complicated and expensive. After spending billions of dollars on developing a product, in a country with a regulatory regime like the U.S. there is no guarantee that the product will ever make it to market.

    “You don’t know how long it’s going to take before we go [to market or the] innovation starts making money or starts improving public health. It could be three years, five years, nobody really knows,” said Fearon. “I think then, the contrast there is in a country that may contribute [to innovation in the vaping industry] like the U.K., which is open to innovation. It’s actively advising smokers to start vaping. Which is very different to what happens in the United States. Even to the point where we are seeing innovation within the U.K. government in that they are spending a million pounds in April, giving e-cigarettes to pregnant women—I mean, that’s just unheard of when you think about it. That’s an example of the regulator innovating to help the manufacturers innovate, which I think is an incredible example of the two different contrasts we have.”

    Fireside Chat: George Cassels-Smith, CEO of Tobacco Technology Inc.

    Flavorings in nicotine products are interesting. Most consumers think it’s just about taste. The reality is that few understand tobacco product flavorings and how they are produced. George Cassels-Smith, CEO of Tobacco Technologies Inc. (TTI) and eLiquiTech, said that TTI separates itself from its competition by tailoring each of its flavors to the customer’s application.

    “I don’t have a library, even though I’ve done 300,000 flavors. I don’t pull anything off the shelf,” said Cassels-Smith. “I innovate new flavors in the direction of my customer’s request. I might [have] several iterations in a portfolio first … and we then choose the direction that we would want to continue to develop. And ultimately, that becomes a unique flavoring system that is only for that particular customer.”

    Consumer testing and the evaluation of the product are at the heart of what TTI does for its clients. When a TTI salesman goes out to visit the customer and receives a project, he takes back all those requirements and works with the individual flavors within the profiles requested by the customer. TTI then has a team of sensory pros to help evaluate the different creations.

    “It’s usually three, four, five weeks for one single flavor,” said Cassels-Smith. “We save that company all that development time internally, and we give them the turnkey operation. And we call it joint development because it always has the input of the customer.”

    When the U.S. Food and Drug Administration began its crackdown on flavors in e-liquids, Cassels-Smith feared it would create a perception that TTI would stop innovating, which the company does constantly. However, TTI and eLiquiTech only had one facility, located in the U.S. state of Maryland, serving its global client list. He said the solution to that issue was to build a second facility in Assisi, Italy. There, he says, the TTI team is combining art and science.

    “Initially, it was just to have a second facility that was located close to product development. But with the advent of Covid and the disruption in supply chains, we found that the bifurcation of manufacturing greatly assisted us in our delivery and time. And that became very critical,” explained Cassels-Smith.

    Cassels-Smith also discussed how his company was the global supplier of synthetic nicotine produced by U.K.-based Zanoprima Technologies. According to him, the problem with extracting nicotine from tobacco is that it delivers an impurity profile that would contain potential carcinogens. “We find them mainly in two forms—tobacco-specific nitrosamines [TSNAs] and heavy metals. The virtue of the synthetic nicotine is that it doesn’t have a plant-root system that can absorb heavy metals, and since the starting material is a vitamin, it’s clean and it has no heavy metals, and I cannot develop TSNAs,” he said.

    Synthetic nicotine is not new. Nicotine was first synthesized in 1904. Molecules such as nicotine may exist in mirror-image forms with identical chemical makeup but sometimes differing biological activity. The nicotine molecule possesses chirality, meaning it exists in two mirror-image versions called enantiomers or stereoisomers. Nicotine comes in left (S) and right (R) forms. The (S)-isomer of nicotine greatly predominates in tobacco leaf, which contains only small amounts of the (R) variant (0.1 percent to 1.2 percent). Most synthetic nicotine has equal parts of both the (S)-isomer and (R)-isomer. Zanoprima’s product, SyNic, only has the (S)-isomer—the one that holds all the psychotropic effects that nicotine consumers want, according to Cassesls-Smith.

    When dealing with unique products in the nicotine industry, such as flavor profiles or synthetic products, competition can be fierce. There are also regulations that boost black markets and counterfeit goods. On the flavoring end, if you make a profile that does well in the market, it becomes a target. And other people might try and imitate it. And through reverse engineering, you can usually get fairly close, not exactly, he said.

    Cassels-Smith said some of the same issues are being experienced by the synthetic nicotine he distributes for Zanoprima. They developed an enzymatic process to create it, and when you’re the first to develop new technology, you can get a broad patent to prevent anybody else from imitating your product. Zanoprima has patents in 48 countries for its synthetic nicotine process.

    “If anybody is using an enzymatic nicotine and selling it in the market, Zanoprima is the sole patent holder in that market. But unfortunately, when it gets published, people can imitate,” said Cassels-Smith. “What we’re seeing right now is in the disposable market, which is the dominant global player, every one of them is using synthetic nicotine from an enzymatic process. And they’re selling them in markets that are violating the Zanoprima patent.”

    Cassels-Smith said he is in the process of taking legal action. “The legal process begins, but if anybody has ever been in the lawsuit, it’s the biggest nightmare in the world. Litigation costs are high,” he said.

  • Funding for Tobacco Surveillance Center

    Funding for Tobacco Surveillance Center

    Credit: JHVEPhoto

    The U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) have awarded funding for a new Center for Rapid Surveillance of Tobacco (CRST). Through rapid surveillance and reporting of information, CRST will enhance the Center for Tobacco Products (CTP) and the research community’s ability to understand, document and quantify changes in the tobacco product marketplace and tobacco use patterns.

    Research results from the CRST are expected to generate findings and data that are directly relevant in informing the FDA’s regulation of the manufacture, distribution and marketing of tobacco products to protect public health. In particular, the CRST will support more time-sensitive data collection, analysis and reporting—making potentially actionable information available before more traditional data collection methods. 

    “Given the rapidly evolving tobacco landscape, it’s critical that we have nimble surveillance tools that can keep pace to best protect public health,” said Brian King, director of the FDA’s CTP. “This new center is another important addition to our surveillance toolbox to help identify emerging issues and to inform timely action.”

    The CRST is supported through the Tobacco Regulatory Science Program, an interagency partnership between the NIH and CTP to foster tobacco regulatory research. After undergoing a competitive funding announcement, the CRST is being administered through a cooperative agreement under award number U01CA278695. The work is led by Rutgers Center of Excellence in Rapid Surveillance of Tobacco with substantial involvement from a large collaborative network that triangulates multiple data sources, federal scientific staff at CDC, NIH and CTP as well as external advisors with relevant expertise.

  • Altria Completes Acquisition of Njoy

    Altria Completes Acquisition of Njoy

    Image: Tobacco Reporter archive

    Altria Group has completed its acquisition of Njoy Holdings. The tobacco giant has also updated its guidance for 2023 full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in connection with the transaction.

    “The completion of this transaction is a transformative step in our goal of ‘Moving Beyond Smoking,’” said Billy Gifford, Altria’s CEO. “We are pleased to have received antitrust clearance, and we are now fully focused on responsibly accelerating U.S. adult smoker and adult vaper adoption of Njoy Ace, currently the only pod-based e-vapor product to receive marketing authorization from the FDA.

    “Our updated 2023 full-year EPS guidance range includes planned investments behind the U.S. commercialization of Njoy Ace and reflects our goal to deliver strong shareholder returns while making progress toward our vision.”

    “We are excited to combine our resources with Njoy’s talented team to benefit adult tobacco consumers across the country,” said Shannon Leistra, the new president and CEO of Njoy.

    As a result of the transaction, Altria expects to deliver 2023 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $4.89 to $5.03, representing a growth rate of 1 percent to 4 percent from an adjusted diluted EPS base of $4.84 in 2022.

    “Our 2023 full-year adjusted diluted EPS guidance range includes planned investments in support of the company’s vision, such as (i) continued smoke-free product research, development and regulatory preparation expenses, (ii) enhancement of the company’s digital consumer engagement system and (iii) marketplace activities in support of the company’s smoke-free products, including planned investments behind the U.S. commercialization of Ace,” Altria wrote in a press note.

    Altria’s updated guidance range also includes estimated amortization charges of approximately $50 million for the remainder of 2023 related to intangible assets acquired in the transaction.

  • Individual Stick Warnings Coming

    Individual Stick Warnings Coming

    Image: Tobacco Reporter archive

    Canada will soon require that health warnings be printed directly on individual cigarettes—becoming the first country in the world to take this approach, according to the Government of Canada.

    The new Tobacco Products Appearance, Packaging and Labeling Regulations will be part of the government of Canada’s continued efforts to help adults who smoke to quit, to protect youth and nontobacco users from nicotine addiction and to further reduce the appeal of tobacco. Labeling the tipping paper of individual cigarettes, little cigars, tubes and other tobacco products will make it virtually impossible to avoid health warnings altogether. In addition, the regulations will support Canada’s Tobacco Strategy and its target of reaching less than 5 percent tobacco use by 2035, according to a government press release.

    These regulations will come into force on Aug. 1, 2023, and will be implemented through a phased approach that will see most measures on the Canadian market within the year. Retailers will carry tobacco product packages that feature the new health-related messages by the end of April 2024. King-size cigarettes will be the first to feature the individual health warnings and will be sold by retailers in Canada by the end of July 2024 followed by regular size cigarettes, little cigars with tipping paper, and tubes by the end of April 2025.

    Other measures include strengthening and updating health-related messages on tobacco product packages; extending the requirement for health-related messaging to all tobacco product packages; and implementing the periodic rotation of message.

    The new regulations will be published in the June 7, 2023, edition of the Canada Gazette—Part II. In the interim, copies of the full regulations are available upon request by contacting pregs@hc-sc.gc.ca.

  • Mckinney Appoints Fearon

    Mckinney Appoints Fearon

    Image: McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors

    McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors has appointed Ian Fearon as its new chief scientific officer.

    Fearon brings over 15 years of experience in the field of tobacco harm reduction, with a specific focus on clinical and behavioral studies of these products. His deep understanding of regulatory submissions in the United States and Europe will enable McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors to provide unparalleled support and guidance to clients navigating the complex regulatory landscape.

    Prior to joining McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors, Fearon held key leadership positions at renowned organizations in the industry. As the senior director of clinical and regulatory affairs EMEA at Juul Labs, he played a vital role in advancing the scientific understanding of tobacco and nicotine products and supporting the Juul premarket tobacco product application submission.

    Fearon also served as the director of tobacco research at Celerion, where he contributed significantly to the development of clinical evidence to support regulatory filings. Furthermore, his tenure as principal scientist and head of clinical research at BAT solidified his reputation as a thought leader in this space, according to McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors. Fearon has published more than 60 papers, including more than 20 on tobacco/nicotine product assessment, which have generated more than 3,200 citations. 

    “We are thrilled to welcome Ian as our chief scientific officer,” said Willie McKinney, CEO of McKinney Regulatory Science Advisors. “His extensive experience and deep knowledge of tobacco and nicotine science and worldwide regulations make him an invaluable asset to our team. With Ian’s guidance, we will continue to provide exceptional scientific and regulatory consulting services to our clients, facilitating their success in bringing innovative consumer products to market.”

    As the chief scientific officer, Fearon will oversee the company’s scientific operations, lead strategic initiatives and drive innovation in the regulatory science domain.

  • European Elections Could Affect Vaping

    European Elections Could Affect Vaping

    Image: Tobacco Reporter archive

    Elections in several European countries could affect support of reduced-risk nicotine products like e-cigarettes, according to Tamarind Intelligence Policy Radar research.

    Governments in Europe are the most likely to officially support reduced-risk products.

    According to Tamarind Intelligence, forthcoming elections in Finland, Spain, Ireland and the Czech Republic as well as elections for the European Parliament could be significant in determining the future of the products.

    “Our analysis of official attitudes toward e-cigarettes and other tobacco harm reduction products shows some clear global trends,” said Tamarind Intelligence Editorial Director Barnaby Page. “For example, European countries tend to have more favorable attitudes while Asian countries tend to be much more polarized.

    “However, the laws in this area can change very rapidly—sometimes because government itself changes or at other times because issues such as underage vaping or the environmental impact of disposable vapes come into the spotlight.”

    Researchers expect worldwide regulation of reduced-risk products to become stricter, especially in upper-middle-income and high-income countries. Flavored products are expected to receive the most attention with countries proposing bans on the products.

  • FDA Cracks Down on Illegal Disposables

    FDA Cracks Down on Illegal Disposables

    Credit: Waldemarus

    The U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued warning letters to 30 retailers, including one distributor, for illegally selling unauthorized tobacco products. The unauthorized products were various types of Puff and Hyde brand disposable e-cigarettes, which were two of the most commonly reported brands used by youth e-cigarette users in 2022. The Puff products include Puff Bar.

    “Protecting our nation’s youth from tobacco products—including disposable e-cigarettes—is a top priority for the FDA,” said FDA Commissioner Robert M. Califf. “We’re committed to holding all players in the supply chain—not just manufacturers but also retailers and distributors—accountable to the law.”

    According to the FDA, the warning letters are part of a nationwide blitz to crack down on the sale of unauthorized e-cigarettes that are popular with youth—specifically Puff and Hyde products. The blitz included investigations of hundreds of retailers and distributors across the country. All products cited in the warning letters are disposable e-cigarettes, which are the most commonly used e-cigarette product type among youth. Puff Bar and Hyde were the first and third most popular brands used by youth who reported using e-cigarettes, according to the 2022 National Youth Tobacco Survey. Among youth e-cigarette users, about 20 percent reported usually using Puff Bar or Hyde brand products in 2022.

    “Since becoming director of CTP [Center for Tobacco Products], I’ve been crystal clear that FDA will not stand by while retailers and distributors seek to profit off illegally selling products that are well known to appeal to youth,” said Brian King, director of the FDA’s Center for Tobacco Products. “Retailers and distributors play a key role in keeping unauthorized tobacco products off the shelves, and if they fail to do so, we’re committed to taking appropriate action.”

    To date, the FDA has authorized 23 tobacco-flavored e-cigarette products and devices. These are the only e-cigarette products that currently may be lawfully sold in the U.S. The distribution or sale of unlawfully marketed products is subject to enforcement action.

  • Broadening the Base

    Broadening the Base

    Photos: Taco Tuinstra

    Malawi seeks to reduce its heavy dependence on tobacco.

    By Taco Tuinstra

    The impacts of Malawi’s balance-of-trade crisis were visible in late March even to an infrequent Western visitor who could afford to stay at an upscale hotel. Certain items on the room service menu were consistently out of stock, for example, while getting around Lilongwe required queuing for gasoline and hoping the petrol station would not run dry before the driver reached the pump.

    Because Malawi imports more goods and services than it exports, it suffers a chronic shortage of hard currency. In 2020, the latest year for which figures are available, the country’s import bill was $2.8 billion, versus exports of only $800 million, according to the National Statistics Office. With not enough U.S. dollars to pay for imports, many foreign-made goods were simply unavailable.

    For Malawi’s well-heeled international guests, the shortages represent mere inconveniences. Upon return to their home countries, they will be able to generously make up for the missed food items and travel without worrying about fuel. For the average Malawian, however, the trade deficit represents a real problem. Among other things, the dearth of foreign currency prevented the nation from importing enough fertilizer for its Maize and other crops this year, spelling trouble for food security and social cohesion. While Malawi was peaceful during Tobacco Reporter’s visit in late March, some feared civil unrest. “It’s coming,” warned an industry veteran.

    Visit the countryside in April/May, and you will see how people’s lives change when the tobacco markets open. If the markets fail, however, there will be poverty in the villages.

    One cause of Malawi’s economic problems is the fact that it relies too heavily on a single commodity. Tobacco accounts for between 12 percent and 15 percent of Malawi’s gross domestic product and between 40 percent and 70 percent of export earnings, depending on who you ask and on the season. Cultivation alone employs nearly half a million people, according to the Tobacco Commission, which regulates the trade. Those figures make Malawi the world’s most tobacco-dependent country.

    They also leave Malawi vulnerable to factors outside its control, including climate change and global cigarette sales. “Visit the countryside in April/May, and you will see how people’s lives change when the tobacco markets open,” says Nixon Lita, CEO of the TAMA Farmers Trust, describing the influx of cash at the start of each selling season. “If the markets fail, however, there will be poverty in the villages.”

    Last year is a case in point. Due to unfavorable climate conditions during the growing season, Malawi produced only 85.09 million kg of tobacco in 2022—the lowest volume in a decade, according to the Tobacco Commission. Despite higher per-kilo prices than in 2021, farmers earned just $182.12 million from their leaf sales last year. The reduced inflow of foreign currency in 2022 has left Malawi struggling even harder than usual to import essential items. The money made from this season’s larger crop (see “Back to Normal”) is unlikely to make up for the shortfall.

    Malawi’s overreliance on tobacco will become an even greater problem as global cigarette consumption stagnates. Already, the country’s leaf sales are down considerably from only a few years ago. Between 2016 and 2021, tobacco exports in real terms dropped by 42 percent, according to the World Bank. While local merchants are confident that Malawian burley—the country’s predominant tobacco variety—will continue to find buyers in the near future (see “Enduring Demand“), they are acutely aware that the industry should start preparing for a future with less tobacco, especially as the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control measures to discourage cigarette consumption start to bite.

    Malawi tobacco growers benefit from structured markets, which give them access to customers worldwide. Such infrastructure does not exist for many of the country’s other commodities. The video shows leaf being auctioned at the Lilongwe sales floors.

    Spreading the Risk

    To broaden Malawi’s economic base, stakeholders have stepped up efforts to develop other sectors. The TAMA Farmers Trust, for example, expanded its mandate in 2019. Originally established to represent only tobacco farmers, the organization is now helping its members produce other crops as well. Tobacco merchants such as Limbe Leaf Tobacco Co. (LLTC) and Alliance One Tobacco Malawi (AOTM), too, are encouraging diversification. Leveraging their existing farmer-support structures, they are now also disseminating inputs and agronomic advice for nontobacco crops to their contracted growers.

    Another big push comes from the Foundation for a Smoke-Free World (FSFW), which is an independent U.S. nonprofit organization that is funded by annual gifts from PMI Global Services. Established to “end smoking in this generation,” the FSFW focuses its grantmaking and charitable activities in three categories: health and science research aimed at helping smokers quit or switch to less harmful products, industry transformation and agricultural diversification.

    We should not make the same mistake as with tobacco by developing just one value chain.

    The foundation’s agricultural diversification objectives include ensuring that smallholder farmers in Malawi impacted by the declining demand for tobacco are supported to find sustainable alternative livelihoods. To advance these objectives, the FSFW has made grants to set up two institutions—the Centre for Agricultural Transformation (CAT), a science, business and technology incubation hub, and the MwAPATA Institute, an independent agricultural policy think tank that conducts research to inform and improve agricultural-related policies.

    Candida Nakhumwa, FSFW vice president and country director in Malawi, stresses the importance of developing multiple value chains simultaneously. “We should not make the same mistake as with tobacco by developing just one,” she says. In selecting alternative commodities, Nakhumwa urges Malawi to prioritize both exports and import substitution. “We are spending precious foreign exchange on importing things that we should be producing domestically,” she says. “For example, we can make cooking oil from soya beans or sunflower and use that as an import substitute.” Soya beans and sunflower, along with traditional Malawi crops such as groundnuts, also enjoy growing demand internationally, representing export potential.

    For crops like soya bean, sunflower and bananas to succeed, Malawi will need to replicate some of the factors that have allowed tobacco to thrive, notably infrastructure and a deliberate focus on productivity

    Building Markets

    For crops like soya bean, sunflower and groundnuts to succeed, however, Malawi will need to replicate some of the factors that have allowed tobacco to thrive, notably infrastructure and a deliberate focus on productivity. Over the years, the Malawi government gave lots of support to tobacco at the expense of other crops that also had potential, according to Nakhumwa. As a result, the markets for those other value chains remain underdeveloped.

    “The fact that tobacco has a structured market in Malawi, with auction floors and contracting companies, means that leaf growers have access to buyers worldwide—something that is not necessarily the case for producers of other crops,” says Nakhumwa. Without a structured market, producers of nontobacco crops will simply be trading in Malawi kwacha instead of earning hard currency on the global market.

    A structured market also gives confidence to financiers. “Tobacco farmers are not paid in cash; they receive their payments through the bank—so the lenders know they will recover whatever they loaned to the farmer,” says Nakhumwa. Access to finance in turn means access to agricultural inputs, including inorganic fertilizers, which are imported.

    In addition, tobacco has benefited from research and agronomic advice, both through the leaf merchants and the government’s Agricultural Research and Extension Service Trust. Such services have historically been provided at much lower levels to other crops, although this is starting to change as stakeholders adjust to evolving market conditions.

    Due to suboptimal agricultural practices, nontobacco farmers in Malawi are producing at only 30 percent to 40 percent of their potential, according to Nakhumwa. The country’s soils suffer from high acidity and low nutrient levels. These can be fixed using both organic and inorganic fertilizers. However, with commercial banks charging interest rates of 20 percent to 30 percent, tools to improve the soil, such as agricultural lime and inorganic fertilizer, remain out of reach for many smallholder farmers.

    Low productivity means that even though there is demand for Malawi’s nontobacco crops, the country is in many cases unable to satisfy it sustainably. “When a customer in South Africa signs a forward contract, he will want assurance that the goods are going to be delivered consistently,” says Nakhumwa. “If we can supply for only two months and then run dry, we are no longer an attractive supplier for them. The customers may in that case prefer to deal with a seller in Brazil or elsewhere who can guarantee supply.” This is why the FSFW is focusing on enhancing productivity at the farmer level and creating new markets through the CAT.

    At a demonstration farm on the outskirts of Lilongwe the CAT offers a platform for private sector partners to showcase technologies to help farmers optimize their operations.

    Strengthening Skills, Raising Productivity and Creating New Markets

    The CAT aims to boost agricultural productivity through science, technology and innovation while helping innovators turn their ideas into sustainable agribusinesses to create new markets for the alternative commodities produced by smallholders. At a demonstration farm on the outskirts of Lilongwe, the organization offers a platform for a wide range of private sector partners to showcase technologies to help farmers optimize their operations.

    Alongside technologies such as irrigation and ground sensors, the farm features different varieties of maize, groundnut, soya beans, rice and sunflower, among other crops. It also works with agronomists to transfer knowledge: What happens if you plant 10 cm apart or practice double-row planting? What happens if you tweak the amount of fertilizer? According to CAT Executive Director Macleod Nkhoma, such demonstration plots are an effective way to disseminate information to smallholder farmers and promote the adoption of technology, especially in a country with low literacy rates like Malawi.

    In addition to its work on the farm, the CAT helps agricultural entrepreneurs with skills that enable them to access finance and grow their agribusinesses while providing markets to smallholder farmers. “Banks tend to be wary of unstructured markets,” says Macleod. “They view those value chains as very risky.” By supporting the development of these agribusinesses, the CAT helps them to become bankable.

    Already, the center has supported several agricultural ventures, including a project by Hortinet that seeks to reinvigorate Malawi’s dormant banana business through tissue culture (see “From Imports to Orchards”) and an initiative by JAT Investments, which aims to replace the button mushrooms that are currently imported into Malawi with domestically cultivated varieties (see “Fungi Fever“).

    The CAT is helping Hortinet to expand its farmer base from 200 to 700 contracted growers. “Without CAT’s support, we would not have had the capacity to supply that many growers with our banana plantlets,” says Hortinet Executive Director Frank Washoni. JAT Investments benefited from CAT assistance in procuring seeds (spawn) and infrastructure in support of mushroom production. “The CAT helped us procure seed, infrastructure and training, allowing us to grow our growers’ network from two to seven farmers club.” says JAT Investments Operations Director Temwani Gunda. “It we had to work on our own, it would have taken much longer.”

    In terms of weight, Alliance One Tobacco Malawi’s contracted farmers already produce four times more food than tobacco.

    The Tone at the Top

    To live up to their potential, the nontobacco crops will also need better policy frameworks. According to MwAPATA Executive Director William Chadza, export bans and foreign exchange quota currently disincentivize production. “Farmers are often unable to access hard currency to import agricultural inputs in time for the growing season,” he says. In addition, some government market interventions, frequent policy reversals and the unpredictable business environment limit private investments in the agricultural sector. Contradictory policies relating to land and crops present a hurdle as well, according to Chadza.

    Encouragingly, Malawi’s leadership increasingly appreciates the need to broaden Malawi’s economic base. Whereas the government in the past may have been reluctant to acknowledge the changing situation on the global tobacco market, it now appears more cognizant of the new realities. At the opening of the 2022 marketing tobacco season, Malawi President Lazarus Chakwera openly called for a diversification strategy. “The tone at the top is important,” says Nakhumwa. “If the leaders cannot acknowledge that there is a problem and we need to pivot, stakeholders will not rally behind you.”

    Perhaps surprisingly to some, diversification has also been embraced by the tobacco industry. LLTC is supporting growers with certified food crop seeds grown on company farms in the Kasungu district while researching and developing other food crops for exports. It has collaborated with Feed the Future USAID and will be rolling out low-tech irrigation systems to boost productivity. AOTM has made a big bet on groundnuts (see “A Gamble on Goobers”), helping its contracted farmers increase yields and quality with improved varieties, farming equipment and agronomic advice. In March 2022, the company opened a groundnut processing facility in Lilongwe with the capacity to process 50,000 tons per year.

    It took us more than 50 years to develop the tobacco industry to where it is now,” he says. “There is no way other crops will all of a sudden replace tobacco.

    The merchants’ investments in productivity, meanwhile, have enabled tobacco farmers to double their yields, allowing them to produce the same volumes of leaf on fewer hectares and release land for food and other cash crops. Tobacco industry leaders see no contradiction between their support for nontobacco crops and their primary business, arguing that farmer livelihood sustainability is in their interest. “Diversification makes sense,” says Simon Peverelle, managing director of AOTM. In terms of weight, he points out, the company’s contracted farmers already produce four times more food than tobacco.

    But even with government and industry behind diversification, it will take time for Malawi to overcome its heavy reliance on tobacco. Tobacco Commission CEO Joseph Malunga believes the golden leaf will remain a major crop in Malawi for years to come. “It took us more than 50 years to develop the tobacco industry to where it is now,” he says. “There is no way other crops will all of a sudden replace tobacco.”

    Nonetheless, Malunga acknowledges that Malawi needs to spread its eggs over more than one basket. “It is dangerous for us as a country to rely on one thing because if something goes wrong, you are definitely in trouble,” he says. Rather than looking for commodities to replace tobacco, however, Malunga urges Malawi to promote crops that work alongside it, just like the leaf merchants have been integrating food crops into their tobacco operations.

    Malawi has a long way to go, but through the combination of government, industry and nonprofit initiatives currently underway, it should be able to gradually develop a more diverse economy with multiple crops and livestock generating income, so that a bad season in one sector won’t automatically reverberate across the entire country. The stakes are high, witnessed by the economic difficulties in the wake of last year’s short tobacco crop. Success will mean not only greater food security but also more hard currency to import the items that Malawi cannot produce at home. With luck, it may even boost tourism, as the country’s struggling hospitality sector will be able to stock more of the items its foreign customers expect.