Tag: itga

Pride in Tobacco

Photos courtesy of ITGA
Participants in ITGA’s annual meeting debated the challenges and opportunities facing their sector and obtained an in-depth understanding of U.S. tobacco farming.
By Ivan Genov
Jose Javier Aranda
The International Tobacco Growers Association (ITGA) held its 2024 annual general meeting (AGM) Oct.15–18 in Raleigh, North Carolina (N.C.), USA. The birthplace of flue-cured “bright leaf” was the perfect location to wrap up a year full of activities, which included regional meetings in the Americas and Africa, global campaigns and numerous visits focusing on grower challenges.
Hosted by the Tobacco Growers Association of North Carolina (TGANC), the meeting included a four-day dynamic program concentrating on the practical side of farming in the U.S. Notably, the association’s members reelected the ITGA’s president, Jose Javier Aranda, for another term. His efforts to defend the legitimate interests of farmers around the world have expanded to most of the leading tobacco-growing markets. As a result, the AGM was attended by a record number of delegates, including representatives from Argentina, Brazil, the European Union, India, Malawi, the Philippines, Tanzania, the USA, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
The meeting started with a guided tour of the Universal Leaf Factory in Nashville, North Carolina. The facility is the company’s biggest and most advanced plant in the world. Today, it has the capacity to process the entire yearly U.S. crop. Delegates from other regions were able to compare the process to their own markets, but the sheer size of the facility is surely to leave them with a lasting memory. This was followed by a visit to a live auction, a unique experience that is rarely seen in any other place. For example, tobacco growers from Kentucky were sad to note the absence of auctions in their state.

Mercedes Vazquez
The open day conference started with an overview of the ITGA’s strategic objectives. Currently, the ITGA focuses on four pillars—information, tobacco sector advocacy, strategic partnerships and reinforcement of the membership base. ITGA CEO Mercedes Vazquez went through the association’s substantial data reserves and capabilities, campaigns to help bring attention to the enormous socioeconomic impact of tobacco growing, such as the May 31 World Understanding Tobacco Farming Day and the Oct. 28 World Tobacco Growers Day, along with the association’s recent participation in the InterTabac/InterSupply trade fair, which presented four ITGA member associations an opportunity to obtain greater visibility. This is particularly important to entities such as Fedetabaco in Colombia, which went through an extraordinary transformation after leading companies left the market with little notice and no alternatives.
Shane MacGuill, Euromonitor International’s global lead for nicotine and cannabis, provided an in-depth global overview of consumption trends. MacGuill noted that the U.S. market is characterized by an ongoing realignment of consumption behavior in the context of overall flat nicotine volume evolution. Among the most significant global tobacco drivers for the future will be regulatory innovation, including sustainability, cost-of-living crises and risk of impaired sensitivities, along with a broadening of the nicotine universe, according to MacGuill. Currently, the Middle East and Africa are the only cigarette markets experiencing growth, compared with significant declines in Europe and North America.
The top volume growth cigarette markets in the next five years, according to Euromonitor, will be Ethiopia, the United Arab Emirates, Cambodia, Egypt and Lebanon while the biggest volume declines are expected in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, the United Kingdom and Ireland. In the reduced-risk products space, heated tobacco is establishing itself as the key format as significant e-vapor value migrates to illicit markets. Euromonitor’s estimates of the total nicotine market (excluding China), which includes legal and illicit sales and all categories, traditional and novel, indicate striking overall nicotine resilience. In stick-equivalent terms, global volumes are expected to remain unchanged from 2018 to 2028. In addition, the reduced-risk categories are gaining share of the total nicotine universe, but by 2028, it is likely that cigarette sales will still account for three in every four nicotine units. Regarding one of the newest tobacco categories, nicotine pouches, growth is predominantly centered in the U.S., with no evidence of serious traction elsewhere. In the “beyond nicotine” category, manufacturers’ activity remains patchy as the cannabis revolution slows down.

Ivan Genov, ITGA manager of tobacco industry analysis, provided information about tobacco leaf production trends. In 2024, the biggest tobacco variety, flue-cured Virginia (FCV) was characterized by short crops. Unfavorable weather affected some of the leading FCV markets. In Brazil, more humid and warmer climate resulted in lower productivity (see “The Great Scramble,” Tobacco Reporter, May 2024). FCV final volume output was 461 million kg against 551 million kg in 2023. Zimbabwe, which declared a state of disaster during the growing season, registered one of the lowest rainfalls on record. Consequently, production went from 296 million kg in 2023 to 231 million kg in 2024. At the same time, burley production is rising, with Malawi being one of the year’s star performers. The marketing season brought growth in both volume and value terms and expectations for an even better 2025. Another market to pay attention to, Tanzania, was unable to reach the government target of 200 million kg. Nevertheless, local growers produced 116 million kg, twice as much as in 2022. The local ministry of agriculture remains optimistic that Tanzania could become the biggest tobacco exporter in Africa. In summary, demand for tobacco leaf continues to exceed supply on the global markets. Major leaf dealers report low levels of uncommitted stocks, and tobacco is sold very quickly. Current forecasts suggest a larger crop in 2025, but problems that have built up for many years, including thin profit margins for growers, lack of continuity and other social and environmental issues, are now reaching a tipping point.
The topic was further unpacked in a panel that was moderated by TGANC Executive Vice President Graham Boyd and featured leaf sales executives from Alliance One and Universal Leaf North America. While some expected the FCV market to balance in 2025 and burley in 2026, others, particularly in the audience, saw this happening in a longer time frame. Burley Stabilization Corp. CEO Daniel Green noted that three quarters of the U.S. burley production is now realized on the local U.S. market.

A panel moderated by William Snell from the University of Kentucky and featuring farmers with many generations’ worth of experience also sparked a lot of debate. Growers were united in the opinion that the issues faced by growers are the same in every market. TGANC President Matt Grissom expressed another sentiment shared by many growers—that they grow tobacco because they love to do it. However, underlying market changes are putting strong pressure on the community. The U.S. tobacco buyout program was also discussed in detail. At its start, stakeholders expected farms to consolidate, individual farm operations to get bigger, production to shift westward and yields to improve. The first three happened as predicted, but the last one failed to materialize, with yields remaining flat. This was also the key focus of ITGA research in 2024. The association interviewed leading agronomy experts to uncover the reasons behind flat or declining yields—a trend that goes against that seen in crops like corn, soybean and cotton. The research identified common factors impacting all growers as well as ones relevant to small scale against commercial growers. After identifying the issue, the ITGA will continue to analyze the underlying factors and come up with ways to address them.
The session also included a U.S. regulatory update by Universal Leaf Vice President of External Affairs Benjamin Dessart and a global regulatory overview by Michiel Reerink, international corporate affairs director and managing director at Alliance One International. Certain regulatory actions in the pipeline are likely to impact not only consumption but also the whole supply chain, including farmers. These include, for example, the discussions around nicotine reduction in the U.S. and the Due Diligence Directive in the European Union. Tracking regulations that impact growers directly remains a key focus area for the ITGA.
As part of the AGM, delegates also visited a research farm in Oxford, North Carolina, where Loren Fisher, director of N.C. State Research Stations and Field Labs, explained how the U.S. conducts tobacco production research—how it allocates financing, for example, or how it handles technical aspects related to resilient varieties. ITGA delegates agreed that this is an incredible asset for local growers—one that needs to be kept at all costs. The group also visited a field where experts was noted that crop failures are welcome in the research environment as they help in the pursuit for productivity improvements for the future.
Finally, ITGA delegates visited the N.C. State Fair, where tobacco featured prominently. The group witnessed a tobacco-stringing contest, visited the TGANC pavilion and came to appreciate the continuing importance of the golden leaf to their host state. This enduring significance was perhaps best captured by a sign stating that “North Carolina still has pride in tobacco”—a sentiment that was not only wholeheartedly shared by the AGM participants but even managed to grow stronger during their short visit to America’s Tobacco Belt.
Ivan Genov is ITGA’s manager of tobacco industry analysis.

November 1, 2024
Contemplating the Future

Tobacco growers gather in Portugal to debate the many challenges facing their sector.
By Ivan Genov
The year 2022 marked a return to in-person meetings for the International Tobacco Growers’ Association (ITGA). After successfully conducting regional conferences in the Dominican Republic for the Americas region and in Zambia for the Africa region in August, the ITGA held its annual general meeting (AGM) in Castelo Branco, Portugal—the organization’s secretariat headquarters.
The event was attended by tobacco growers’ associations from five continents—Africa, Asia, Europe, South America and North America—together with key industry stakeholders and local hosts. Participants included delegations from Argentina, Brazil, Bulgaria, India, Italy, Malawi, the Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the United States, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The three-day event featured an open session, during which a variety of topics were discussed—the latest leaf production dynamics, a global market overview, regulatory updates and three blocks dedicated to sustainable tobacco growing in Africa, the Americas and Europe. ITGA members shared the latest market information regarding their respective regions and highlighted the most pressing concerns going into the 2023 season. Among the frequently mentioned ones were the growing costs of production, unsatisfactory pricing and the importance of being included in major tobacco forums.
The Consumption Side
Euromonitor International provided an in-depth briefing dedicated to the global nicotine market. The market intelligence provider’s head of nicotine and cannabis research, Shane MacGuill, identified broadening of the nicotine universe, regulatory innovation (including sustainability) and the opportunities and threats created by Covid-19 as the key future consumption drivers. In 2021, the pandemic effects sent cigarettes to their best performance in years while the category accounted for 83 percent of the total tobacco value sales. With most regions likely to see both volume and value declines in their cigarette sales, the Middle East, Africa and China are where growth is most likely to come from in the future.
In the illicit sphere, sales are expected to rebound significantly in the short term as costs of living are growing rapidly in many markets. Currently, the countries with the biggest illicit penetration are Ecuador, Peru and Uganda. In emerging products, heated tobacco is seen as the leading reduced-risk format while nicotine pouches show significant potential, mainly driven by sales in the U.S., but starting from a lower base. The importance of sustainability is another key driver in the tobacco and nicotine universe. The growing focus on cultivation and its environmental impact; supply chain emissions, widely accepted as environmentally damaging; and product waste, which is now in part tackled by the EU Directive on Single-Use Plastics, are among the key issues that will shape the regulatory framework. Finally, Euromonitor flagged the potential of legal cannabis, which is forecasted to reach nearly $100 billion in sales by 2026, according to company estimates, with focus on the U.S. and Germany as key examples of how the newly emerging industry could take shape.
The Production Side
After a sharp drop in 2020, 2021 marked a slight rebound in production for the biggest tobacco variety, flue-cured Virginia (FCV). This was largely driven by production increases in the U.S., Brazil and Zimbabwe, coupled with good weather conditions and revival of trade after the initial waves of Covid-19. In 2022, further production growth was registered, but this was primarily triggered by a 110 million kg increase in China. The biggest producer of FCV, excluding China, is Brazil, where the season concluded with 60 million kg of FCV less than the year before, with production costs up nearly 30 percent. Projections for 2023 suggest that China will keep the 2022 production levels while Brazil will also increase its FCV outputs, which could lead to additional growth on a global level. Pricing is showing an upward trend in some of the biggest markets for FCV, but the rapid growth in production costs is the biggest concern flagged by most ITGA member associations. As inflation and unstable supply chains are likely to continue shaping trade in 2023, this issue is likely to persist in the medium-term to long-term.
The trajectory for burley tobacco is downward. Production levels have been consistently declining in the past three years to four years. In contrast, for 2023, leading merchants expect notable production growth for burley in Africa, bringing the global quantities closer to the 500 million kg mark. Whether this forecast will materialize remains an open question. A market of particular importance for burley, Malawi experienced a difficult season. Sales were just under 70 million kg, down from 104 million kg the year before, representing a more than 30 percent drop on a yearly basis. The average price of $2.03 meant that total proceeds for the sector were only 7.7 percent down in comparison. The Tobacco Association of Malawi has indicated that 2021 and then 2022 have recorded a high increase in input prices because of Covid-19-related logistical developments and the impact of the Ukraine crisis, with fertilizer prices almost doubling. Fertilizers will be a big factor going into 2023 as well. In the U.S., another important producer of burley, growers indicated that interest in the variety is rapidly decreasing. Although some have diversified into other tobacco varieties, such as dark air-cured for the growing popularity of smokeless products, next season’s production is likely to register a double-digit year-on-year decline.
Focus on Other Markets
The AGM also shed light on some of the smaller markets that do not often enter the spotlight. For example, in the Philippines, production currently stands at 46 million kg, with an expected rise of 3 million kg going into the 2023 season. During the current crop, at least 4 million kg were lost due to rains. In Italy, the season was particularly difficult, with the rising cost of gas, fertilizer and power impacting production. A significant number of farmers took a sabbatical year while climate was hot and dry with several thunderstorms impacting production. The situation in the wider European region is also difficult. In the span of a decade, production went down drastically, with little help for growers on a regional level. Recently, the war in Ukraine has seriously been affecting pricing and availability of fertilizers. Shisha has arisen as a new opportunity for EU growers, especially in Poland.
Special attention was also paid to Ukraine, where the war has a significant impact on the larger agricultural environment. According to U.N. data, a significant number of markets depend heavily on agricultural commodities from Russia and Ukraine while the wheat dependence of many African and other least developed markets is also noteworthy. In addition to the fertilizer shortage and availability issues, big tobacco manufacturers have large exposures of their cigarettes and heated-tobacco portfolios to Russia and Ukraine, making supply chain complications even more pressing.
Election of New ITGA President and Future Objectives

Jose Javier Aranda (Photo: ITGA)
Among the important outcomes of the ITGA’s 2022 AGM was the election of Jose Javier Aranda as the new association president. Aranda belongs to a family of farmers with roots and traditions in Argentina’s Lerma Valley. His ancestors were among the first Virginia tobacco producers in Salta Province. Currently, he serves as the first member of the Camara del Tabaco de Salta, a founding organization of the ITGA and secretary of the Cooperativa de Productores Tabacaleros de Salta. His leadership experiences are built on 16 years of action in the representative entities of the Salta producers.
Going into next year, ITGA members highlighted the importance of maintaining and strengthening communications with already scheduled regional meetings in Africa, America, Asia and Europe. The ability to sit in all meetings where the future of the sector is being decided, including meetings hosted by the World Health Organization, is among the goals of the new president. The multiple challenges facing the most vulnerable part of the supply chain necessitates the close cooperation between associations and major industry stakeholders to continue, so the sustainable future of millions of people taking part in tobacco growing can be ensured. Finally, growers agreed that tobacco should be grown in a sustainable way, respecting the environment and making sure all processes involved in production are fully compliant.
Ivan Genov is ITGA’s manager of tobacco industry analysis.

December 1, 2022
Key Takeaways

ITGA CEO Mercedes Vazquez
Tobacco growers reflect on the challenges and opportunities facing their business during the ITGA’s 2022 Americas and Africa Regional Meetings.
By Ivan Genov
In August 2022, after almost three years of Covid-19-related disruptions, the International Tobacco Growers’ Association (ITGA) organized two in-person meetings—one in Santiago de los Caballeros, Dominican Republic, for the Americas region and another in Lusaka, Zambia, for the Africa region. The much-awaited events brought together ITGA members, partners and key industry stakeholders to discuss the burning issues of the day and the appropriate ways to mitigate the negative effects of the current multi-vector crises.
Participants gathered from Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, the Dominican Republic and the U.S. as well as Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe, among other countries. Having already visited the Oriental region (Bulgaria and North Macedonia) earlier in the year, the ITGA is now preparing for its first physical annual general meeting, to take place in Castelo Branco, Portugal, since 2019.
Costs of Production—Drastic Growth in Most Markets
Although many topics were discussed during the Americas and Africa regional meetings, one stood out—the growing costs of tobacco production. In the U.S., growers continue to face challenges related to unavailability of labor and increasing costs of inputs. Local associations have reported that fertilizer costs alone exceed $1,000/ton. These factors are leading to the most expensive crop in the country’s history. In Brazil, current costs of production are also up significantly, between 27 percent and 29 percent for different tobacco types. In Zimbabwe, the growth is 25 percent against the 2021 crop. This is not an isolated event for the two regions. In Europe, the situation is no different. Tobacco growers in Verona, Italy, have revealed that energy costs have increased fivefold, gas has tripled and growers’ viability is once again in danger. Essentially, growers from nearly all ITGA member associations are afraid that if pricing does not adequately reflect the ongoing economic difficulties, the sector will be in serious long-term trouble.

Participants in ITGA’s African region meeting in Zambia (Photo: ITGA)
Leaf Updates—Production Decreases in Leading Tobacco Growing Countries
The global leaf situation was the other key point discussed by growers. Some of the biggest tobacco producing countries showed notable volume slowdowns during the year. In Brazil, the estimated 2022 crop is about 570 million kg, down from 628 million kg in 2021. The flue-cured Virginia (FCV) share of the totals is 92 percent. In the current season, around 40,000 fewer individuals were involved in the farming of the crop, or a total of just over 600,000 people. Nevertheless, pricing in the country is also up, firmly above the $3 mark for both FCV and burley.
In Argentina, the total production volumes are around 92 million kg, down from 101 million kgs in 2021. In the U.S., 2022 burley tobacco production is 2 million kg less, or 27 million kg, but dark air-cured tobacco planting area is on the rise. This is in part driven by stable consumer demand for smokeless tobacco products, limited substitutes for U.S. quality dark air-cured tobacco and greater profitability for local growers. In the U.S., popular agricultural commodity prices have sharply risen since 2020, providing viable alternatives to local growers.
In Zimbabwe, the total quantity of tobacco sold in 2022 is around 205 million kg against 212 million kg in 2021. Average pricing has improved but at a slower rate compared to production costs. The total number of growers is also down 14 percent to around 136,000 people. One of the leading burley producers in the world, Malawi produced 83 million kg of the tobacco variety, or a yearly decrease of 21 percent. In Zambia, production of FCV is up around 2 million kg to 32 million kg, but burley is down 2 million kg to 3 million kg. In Zambia, while production costs have nearly trebled, pricing has only moved up from around 7 percent to 10 percent for different tobacco types.

Delegates at the ITGA Americas region meeting in the Dominican Republic (Photo: ITGA)
Regulations—ITGA to Get Growers Back in Discussions
ITGA CEO Mercedes Vazquez focused on the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) Article 5.3, regarding industry interference, and Article 17, covering the need to promote economically viable alternatives to tobacco production to prevent possible adverse social and economic impacts on populations whose livelihoods depend on the crop. Unfortunately, Article 17 has been highly underestimated. Implementation at country level is poor or simply nonexistent. The WHO FCTC has not provided significant technical nor financial support to growers. The 15-year efforts of tobacco growers demanding inclusion at the FCTC Conferences of the Parties (COP) and how Article 5.3 was misused to prevent growers and their legitimate representatives from attending meetings was also discussed. Tobacco growers will, from now on, put high pressure to ensure their participation and will do their utmost to guarantee their legitimate representation at the future COP. The next one will take place in Panama in 2022.
Growers were briefed about incoming initiatives, including the regulatory push in the U.S. to prohibit menthol as a characterizing flavor in cigarettes and all characterizing flavors other than tobacco in cigars. As a reference, menthol accounts for around a third of the U.S. cigarette market. The U.S. administration is also considering requiring tobacco manufacturers to lower the nicotine in all cigarettes to levels that are no longer addictive. If enacted, these policies are likely to radically change the industry dynamics in one of the most profitable tobacco markets in the world. The other important regional initiative—the European Union’s €4 billion ($4 billion) Beating Cancer Plan, based on a goal of creating a tobacco-free generation by 2040, is also likely to shape up legislative changes in a variety of markets and affect the supply chain.
Other Key Discussions—from Cannabis to Climate Change
Among the other topics discussed was hemp as a potential alternative to tobacco in the U.S. However, initial euphoria led to massive overproduction and a corresponding price crash. Although small-scale projects for crops, including cannabis, are being carried out in both the Americas and Africa, the consensus opinion is that regulatory clarity is still lacking.
Some markets, including Malawi, Zimbabwe, Argentina and Colombia, among others, have taken steps in their respective local regulatory frameworks regarding cannabis production. However, any meaningful opportunities are nowhere near the opportunities provided by tobacco in these regions at the moment.
Another topic that was discussed is related to abnormal climate events impacting the crops. In Zambia alone, over the course of the past three decades, the impact of floods and droughts have been estimated to cost the country around $13.8 billion. Small-scale projects have made inroads to support farmers, not only in tobacco, but it is feared that much more trouble is coming—something that no one is adequately prepared for.
Persistent Issues and Growers’ Resilience
Tobacco growing, much like all agricultural activities, remains a difficult calling. While many businesses could afford to keep their workforces at home during the Covid-19 pandemic, growers had no other choice but to remain on the fields. The sector proved to be more resilient than many anticipated, and high-quality tobacco leaf continues to be delivered.
In the past couple of years, tobacco and nicotine consumption has remained stable. The principal category for the entire industry, cigarettes, is even growing in some of the main global markets. Growers are aware that they only take a small fraction of the total industry value while their fundamental role is being constantly undermined. For the industry to survive, prices will have to catch up with the growing costs of production.
At the same time, the war in Ukraine is putting severe pressure on key agricultural commodities. Many countries, especially in Africa, rely heavily on such imports from Russia and Ukraine. The countries that have the capacity to produce the scarce products could find easier diversification options. However, the growing inflation and general economic uncertainty will keep the international situation tense. Growers have proven their resilience, but their legitimate demands cannot be ignored anymore.
Ivan Genov is ITGA’s manager of tobacco industry analysis.

October 1, 2022
Tobacco Growers Convene Online

The International Tobacco Growers Association (ITGA) will hold an online meeting, due to Covid-19, with its community of growers on Oct. 28, 2020 at 1 p.m. Western European Time in Portugal to celebrate World Tobacco Growers’ Day.
“This meeting aims to celebrate and thank the importance of the role of tobacco growers in the economies and social and rural environments of their regions and in these times of pandemic particularly, continuing with the activities inherent to the sector to ensure the proper functioning of value chains,” the organization wrote in a statement.
The session will be composed of the technical staff of the ITGA, growers’ associations from around the world and invitees.
The session is free to attend.

October 26, 2020
Feeling Their Pain
The International Tobacco Growers Association is campaigning to help noncontracted farmers cope with the coronavirus pandemic.
TR Staff Report

Photo: Taco Tuinstra
While the multinational cigarette makers are likely to emerge from the coronavirus pandemic with only minor bruises, some of their suppliers are in dire straits. For noncontracted tobacco farmers, who rely on busy sales floors and healthy farm hands to ply their trade, the crisis has been downright devastating. The International Tobacco Growers Association (ITGA) has started a campaign to alleviate their suffering. Using an appropriately socially distanced method of communication—email—Tobacco Reporter asked the organization about its initiative. Because the answers were compiled by a team, ITGA requested we attribute them to the organization rather than an individual.
Tobacco Reporter: Which leaf-producing countries will be hit hardest by the coronavirus pandemic?
ITGA: So far, the most affected is India due to the Andhra Pradesh marketing season disruption. The tobacco auctions were active both in Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. The auctions were suspended in the two regions; however, in Karnataka, the auction was close to its ending date, while in Andhra Pradesh the marketing season had recently started, so the impacts of the suspension will be felt there more severely. The lack of international leaf dealers—especially from China—due to traveling restrictions during the Karnataka auctions was one of the reasons for prices not being higher.
The difficulty of storing tobacco will affect Andhra Pradesh. The region’s tobacco production may suffer critical reductions due to this unforeseen situation. The decreased demand due to tobacco companies not being deemed “essential” will also affect tobacco growers by causing financial losses due to the erosion of both the quantity and quality of the production. In Andhra Pradesh, only 5 percent of the tobacco was sold [in early May] compared with 50 percent last year. The tobacco manufacturers and tobacco businesses had to close, and demand for tobacco products has been estimated to have decreased by 20 percent.

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In South America, after a period of suspended operations, tobacco manufacturers and leaf dealers have resumed their operations and the activities are in full swing. In Argentina, the regional governments have put in place strict regulations to protect everyone involved in the marketing season. Dialogue between tobacco associations and tobacco companies has progressed with a deal having been struck for the tobacco purchased in the Misiones region, with a 59 percent price adjustment compared to the one paid last year. Argentina stands out for the macroeconomic difficulties the country was already facing; together with the Covid-19 disruption, that is sure to affect tobacco growers directly. The closing of the tobacco factories has caused shortages of cigarettes and tobacco cooperatives to be stuck with unsold tobacco.
Afubra, the national tobacco growers’ organization of Brazil, has downgraded the value of tobacco products. The drought felt in southern states during December 2019 and January 2020 caused losses in the Rio Grande do Sul of around 16 percent. Both Argentina’s and Brazil’s tobacco associations have made a plea to tobacco manufacturers for an advance on the price of the tobacco bought that would be deducted from the final sale price. Tobacco growers would use the revenue to finance wages, inputs and other expenses during this period.

Because the tobacco market in Andhra Pradesh was suspended shortly after it had commenced, the disruption there will be felt severely. Photo: Taco Tuinstra
In African countries such as Zimbabwe and Malawi, which both depend heavily on tobacco as a foreign exchange earner, tobacco auctions have been suspended and then opened amidst the Covid-19 crisis. What impact do you expect for farmers due to the delay?
The Malawi Tobacco Commission had announced at the beginning of April that excessive rainfall and the lower prices during last year’s campaign had affected the 2019 to 2020 tobacco crop. Tobacco output was estimated to decrease by 6.62 percent to 155,000 tons. There were growing concerns that if the marketing season were to be delayed further into the future that the tobacco could suffer in return due to the lack of facilities to adequately store tobacco for longer periods of time. An extended delay would result in part of the production to be lost, which would have an extremely negative impact on the livelihoods of those who rely on tobacco as a source of income.
In Zimbabwe, the marketing season had been delayed before the Covid-19 [virus] became an issue in the country. Episodes of rainfall close to the beginning of the marketing season allowed for the crop to recover from episodes of drought that it faced earlier in 2020. The Tobacco Industry and Marketing Board has assessed that tobacco output will reach 225,000 tons, a decrease of 13 percent from last year’s production. The tobacco output was initially expected to be significantly lower due to decreased growers’ registrations and tobacco seed sales.
Both Malawi and Zimbabwe are highly dependent on tobacco as a source of foreign exchange—a reality that the Covid-19-induced economic crisis will surely worsen. Therefore, this year’s marketing season must be a successful operation so that the livelihoods of the millions involved in tobacco growing do not suffer dramatically. Although, it is premature to assess the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the African marketing season. The auction and contract floors opened with higher measures of hygiene and protection with the aim to protect tobacco growers, leaf dealers and everyone involved in the sales. In Zimbabwe, even though the first bale received a lower price than last year—$4 versus $4.50—the amount of tobacco sold and the revenue generated on the first day was higher. Tobacco growers don’t usually send their best tobacco at the beginning of the season to better understand how prices will progress, thus saving the best for last. In Malawi, the introduction of a new bidding system has been singled out as the reason behind the higher rejection rates. As farmers adapt to this new system, rejection rates will likely decrease. Tama Farmers Trust and ITGA President Abiel Kalima Banda has called for a stakeholder meeting to address the problem and find a solution.

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Most tobacco sales today take place under growing contacts. To what extent do you expect the current crisis to change this?
Most of the tobacco growing is done through contracts; however, there is still a significant number of independent farmers. The trend of the increasing share of contract growers will persist or become even more evident. The Covid-19 pandemic will only exacerbate the differences between contracted and noncontracted growers. Independent farmers are much more exposed to the effects of the coronavirus as they don’t benefit from the tools and support the companies provide, while contracted growers are assisted by the companies with both knowledge and supplies. With the closing or demand turbulence of the auction floors or demand disruption, the only growers that are certain that their tobacco will be bought are the ones subject to contracts. That is the main reason behind our campaign—#Togetherwecare—to support the tobacco growers that are most undefended against a threat of this nature.
What impact do you anticipate from the coronavirus crisis for the supply-demand of leaf tobacco?
Tobacco production has been decreasing over the past few years as an effect of the lower demand for tobacco products. Tobacco growers are adapting to this situation by lowering the area under tobacco production. Due to weather events both in Brazil and Zimbabwe, the estimate for tobacco output has been adjusted downward from what was initially projected. As ITGA members are spread around the globe with significant economic and cultural differences, the ability to adapt and to respond to situations differs from country to country. Regarding the market adjustment, only when the marketing seasons are well underway can the effects be correctly assessed. The main Asian tobacco markets of China, India and Indonesia are key to understand if major demand shock will occur. For India, a 20 percent demand reduction has been estimated while Philip Morris International has confirmed a significant reduction in the Asian markets. Indonesia has also introduced minimum price regulation that may exert more pressure on the lower end of the market. With the economic effects following the pandemic with higher unemployment rates, smokers usually change to cheaper brands, an effect that is negated with the minimum price.
How will this affect cigarette manufacturers, most of whom claim to have sufficient stocks?
Tobacco manufacturers are not to suffer from reduced sales due to the nature of tobacco products demand. The consumption of cigarettes, heated-tobacco units and other types of nicotine-delivery systems is not expected to be affected by the coronavirus. Analysts from the Jefferies Investment Bank have characterized tobacco stocks as being “recession-proof,” the reason for this being that smokers are less worried about health concerns. Smokers have been bombarded with ever-increasing warnings for a long time and have developed a certain immunity to health warnings. Also, the link between anxiety and the use of tobacco products has been the subject of many studies, and the fact that a relevant percentage of the world’s population is being motivated to stay at home can increase the levels of anxiety which would lead to an increase of the consumption of tobacco products. Tobacco manufacturers have reported strong first-quarter results with important revenue growth. The tobacco operations are spread throughout the world although the main manufacturing centers are in the regions that were most affected by the pandemic, with several operations having closed for some time. The main tobacco companies have, however, reiterated that the supplies of tobacco products are sufficient for up to two months.

The goal of the ITGA’s #Togetherwecare campaign is to support the tobacco growers that are most vulnerable to the Covid-19 threat. Image: ITGA
Is the crisis an opportunity to rethink established supply chains and processes in the leaf-producing sector?
Without doubt, this has been one of the most challenging quarters in recent history. The Covid-19 pandemic has affected the world as a whole. One of the side effects of the pandemic has been its ability to disrupt the global supply chain. Globalization affected the way companies and industries operate. Supply chains have evolved to a planetary dimension and it is common to consume products that are produced half a world away. Despite the disruption to the global supply chain, the trend of moving tobacco production from developed countries to developing countries is not expected to change. The reasons behind moving the sources of tobacco have not changed with the pandemic. The pressure on tobacco products demand means companies will continue to lower costs along the entire value chain. As tobacco volumes will not increase, companies can search only for efficiency and margins gains.
Please elaborate on ITGA’s campaign to help small, noncontracted growers.
The ITGA has been in close contact with its members to assess the difficulties that this pandemic has been posing. Despite the global character of the outbreak, certain difficulties are particular to each region. Our members in the most affected regions have highlighted that they are starting to notice a lack of inputs for tobacco farming and that travel and transport restrictions have impacted the regular operations of growing tobacco. As tobacco is a labor-intensive product, any disruption to the movement of workers or to the hiring process could disrupt the harvesting season. The difficulty in earning a work visa or blocking the travel particularly affects products that rely on seasonal migrant workers. Our campaign is focusing on raising awareness and bringing basic equipment to smallholder farmers. Prevention and information are key at this phase to avoid a much more uncontrollable situation in these countries with fragile health systems and infrastructures. We have been seeking support since early April in view of the start of the selling season, which was delayed until the last week of April in Malawi and Zambia and the beginning of May in Zimbabwe. Coordination in these three countries has been outlined. It is very unfortunate that the ITGA acted in advance, foreseeing the free movement of noncontracted growers and inappropriate gatherings between farmers lacking basic protective equipment, but our plans in coordination with our members are set back in the absence of support.

As ITGA members are spread around the globe with significant economic and cultural differences, the ability to adapt and to respond to situations differs from country to country. Photo: British American Tobacco
It is imperative that the sector unites to protect the chains most exposed to the difficulties highlighted by Covid-19. As studies show, tobacco is grown as a cash crop in a multi-production system. Most tobacco growers do not exclusively produce tobacco. As other sectors and supply chains are disrupted by the outbreak, the noncyclical nature of the tobacco sector and its ability to outperform other industries during economic slowdowns is key to reinforcing the role of tobacco as the source of income for many growers.
June 1, 2020
ITGA calls for dialogue
Tobacco growers are urging governments to open formal dialogues about the challenges the sector is facing due to a decrease in demand for tobacco products and the absence of viable alternative crops.
The plea was made at a meeting today organized by the International Tobacco Growers Association (ITGA) in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, bringing together the sector, political representatives and tobacco farmers from other African tobacco growing-countries, including Malawi, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
“Tobacco has been part of the worldwide agriculture for nearly six centuries,” said Jackson Nkuba, assistant director in Tanzania’s Ministry of Agriculture, stressing that tobacco has been Tanzania’s most important export crop for years.
Nkuba acknowledged the challenges linked to the crop and the importance of educating people about the health risks associated with tobacco use. He said the government should encourage farmers to grow alternative crops, but noted the difficulty in creating new supply chains
“Tobacco production and use is still legitimate and we want to maintain this status quo for as long as we can,” he said. “We need the collaboration of all stakeholders in the value chain to ensure that tobacco production is environmentally sustainable,” he concluded.
ITGA President Daniel Green highlighted the contribution of tobacco to many countries’ economies. Tobacco, he said, has been one of the main promoters of employment and one of the main income generators.
“We do not underestimate policies that aim to safeguard public health; the only thing we have been asking for many years now is to be part of the process that could lead tobacco growers toward a sustainable future,” he said.
Delegates also insisted on the need for tobacco growers’ representatives to participate into the process being carried by the World Health Origination’s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC).
The ITGA meeting coincided with a regional FCTC meeting in Dar es Salaam to discuss measures related to a the convention’s articles 17 and 18, which deal with alternatives to tobacco growing and the social and environmental impact of tobacco growing.
The ITGA’s request for the participation in the FCTC meeting of its Tanzania associations, The Flue and Dark Tobacco Unions, was rejected.
“We have come to a point where it is clear that the FCTC Secretariat has exercised a veto to tobacco growers by ignoring their pleas,” said ITGA CEO Antonio Abrunhosa.
“Unlike other UN agencies that engage in discussions with relevant stakeholders to discuss the best approach to reach their goals, the FCTC underestimates one very important stakeholder in their discussions—and the one most affected by their decisions: the tobacco growing communities,” he said.
June 14, 2017