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Tag: tobacco tax

  • Indonesia’s Tax Strategy Not Impacting Smoking Rates

    Indonesia’s Tax Strategy Not Impacting Smoking Rates

    Indonesia’s long-running reliance on tobacco excise increases has failed to significantly curb smoking, according to a National Health Survey, with around 70 million people still using tobacco and prevalence remaining among the highest globally. Despite a 23% tax increase in 2020 and steady annual rises since, cigarette affordability has remained largely unchanged, as income growth has offset price increases, leaving consumers spending roughly the same share of income on cigarettes over the past decade.

    Analysts say structural issues are undermining the effectiveness of tax policy, particularly wide price disparities across product categories. Lower-taxed hand-rolled kretek cigarettes continue to provide a cheaper alternative, encouraging smokers to downtrade rather than quit. This dynamic has limited the impact of higher taxes on overall consumption.

    Health economists argue that without more aggressive and harmonized tax reforms, excise policy alone will continue to fall short as a deterrent. The findings underscore broader challenges for tobacco control strategies in emerging markets, where affordability and product substitution can blunt the intended impact of fiscal measures.

  • Ugandan CSOs Want Higher Taxes to Push Already Declining Smoking Rate

    Ugandan CSOs Want Higher Taxes to Push Already Declining Smoking Rate

    Several civil society organizations (CSO) in Uganda have asked the Ministry of Finance to increase the tax on imported tobacco products to 75%, according to New Vision. Mengo Talibita, a representative of the Tobacco Control Committee, said current excise taxes are often in the 31% to 35% range, “leaving cigarettes relatively affordable.”  

    Uganda’s Tobacco Control Act of 2015 introduced 100% smoke-free public spaces, banned shisha and e-cigarettes, prohibited tobacco advertising, required 65% graphic warnings on packaging, raised the smoking age to 21, and added restrictions to where tobacco products could be sold. Since then, the country’s modest smoking rate decreased from 7.9% to 6.7%.

    Talibita said the tobacco industry tries to manipulate government policy during the tax cycle, and Minister of State for Finance, Planning and Economic Development, Henry Musasizi said the department is under heavy pressure from the CSOs to increase the tax rates. In an interview with New Vision, one smoker who declined to be named said, “Much as the law was put in place, there were no gazette places for smokers. Apparently, when one wants to smoke, it is hell one gets [with] insults from the public.

    “We need to be given freedom as smokers. Let the government put in place what was agreed for us.”

  • Latvia Continues Plan of Raising Tobacco Taxes

    Latvia Continues Plan of Raising Tobacco Taxes

    Latvia has seen a dramatic rise in cigarette prices over the past decade, with the excise tax on popular brands like Winston doubling since 2017. According to an analysis by Latvian Television’s investigative program “Aizliegtais paņēmiens”, excise revenue from tobacco grew 53% between 2017 and 2025, reaching €291 million last year. The price of a pack of Winston cigarettes increased from €3 in 2017 to around €5.40 in 2025, with taxes now making up roughly 81% of the retail price. Planned further excise increases of 15% in both 2027 and 2028 could push prices near €8 per pack.

    While higher excise duties have boosted government revenue, they have also raised concerns about the growth of the illegal tobacco market, as retail sales volumes fell approximately 22% over the same period. Tobacco is not domestically produced in Latvia, presenting fewer variables for authorities to weigh when considering excise policy.

  • DoF Says Illicits Threaten Philippines Fiscal Stability

    DoF Says Illicits Threaten Philippines Fiscal Stability

    Philippine finance officials are raising alarms over the growing impact of illicit cigarette trade, warning that smuggling is driving down tobacco excise tax revenues and threatening funding for public health programs. The Department of Finance (DoF) said tobacco tax collections fell 24% from P174.6 billion ($3 billion) in 2021 to P132.3 billion ($2.2 billion) in 2024, despite rising smoking rates, with Finance officials describing illegal tobacco as a direct threat to fiscal stability and healthcare financing.

    Officials estimate the government may have lost up to P172 billion ($2.9 billion) in tobacco excise revenue between 2020 and 2025 due to smuggling, with illegal cigarettes accounting for roughly 20% of the market. Lawmakers and industry representatives said the price gap between legal packs, which sell for P125 to P200 ($2.13 to $3.40), and illicit packs priced as low as P30 ($0.51) is fueling demand, while also pointing to regulatory loopholes and misdeclaration of products as factors worsening the problem. Authorities are now considering measures including harmonizing vape tax rates, introducing minimum retail pricing, and strengthening coordination between regulatory agencies to curb illegal sales.

  • Michigan Gov Proposes Major Tobacco Tax Hikes

    Michigan Gov Proposes Major Tobacco Tax Hikes

    Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s 2026–27 budget proposal includes new and increased taxes on nicotine and tobacco products, imposing a 57% wholesale tax on vaping products and nicotine pouches, raising the tax on other tobacco products from 32% to 57%, and increasing the cigarette tax from $2 to $3 per pack. The measures are projected to generate about $232 million in additional annual revenue to support Medicaid, smoking cessation, and cancer prevention programs, and will be debated by state lawmakers in early 2026.

  • FAIFA: Tax Hike Will Harm Millions of Indian Tobacco Farmers

    FAIFA: Tax Hike Will Harm Millions of Indian Tobacco Farmers

    A new report by the Federation of All India Farmer Associations (FAIFA), developed with Artha Arbitrage Consulting LLP, warns that India’s revised tobacco tax regime, which took effect Feb. 1, could significantly disrupt the country’s flue-cured Virginia (FCV) tobacco sector. The policy reintroduced central excise duties on cigarettes and raised the GST rate on tobacco products to 40% while removing the GST compensation cess, increasing the overall tax burden. The report estimates the changes could reduce FCV crop offtake by nearly 20% and eliminate approximately 2.6 million man-days of employment across farming and related supply chain activities. It also projects illicit cigarette consumption could rise by roughly 39%, potentially exceeding 46 billion sticks, as higher prices shift demand toward unregulated products, while ongoing tax disparities between FCV-based products and other tobacco categories continue to contribute to declining FCV acreage and grower participation.

  • Illinois Weighs New Restrictions on Remote Tobacco Sales

    Illinois Weighs New Restrictions on Remote Tobacco Sales

    Illinois lawmakers are considering legislation that would significantly tighten the regulation of remote tobacco and nicotine sales into the state. H.B. 4250 would amend the Tobacco Products Tax Act of 1995 to require any remote retail seller — including out-of-state companies — to obtain a state license before selling tobacco products to Illinois retailers or consumers, with implementation targeted for July 1, 2026.

    If enacted, H.B. 4250 would also impose a 45% tax on the wholesale price of tobacco products sold remotely, capturing online and mail-order transactions that policymakers argue have escaped traditional enforcement. The proposal reflects Illinois’ broader push to close regulatory gaps around e-commerce, following recent actions restricting direct-to-consumer shipments of vaping products and expanding tobacco controls.

  • Turkiye Limits Tax Hikes on Tobacco, Fuel, Alcohol

    Turkiye Limits Tax Hikes on Tobacco, Fuel, Alcohol

    Türkiye will limit Special Consumption Tax (SCT) increases on tobacco products in the first half of 2026, applying a 7.95% hike instead of the usual adjustment tied to producer inflation, which was close to 10%. Under the presidential decree published in the Official Gazette, the per-pack excise tax on cigarettes will rise by ₺1.28 ($0.03) to ₺56.78 ($1.31). The move departs from Türkiye’s standard practice of revising tobacco taxes twice a year in line with the domestic producer price index and is intended to ease consumer price pressures.

    Tobacco remains a major source of tax revenue in Türkiye, with more than 19 million smokers spending over $16 billion annually on cigarettes. From January to November 2025, tobacco generated ₺396.4 billion ($11.1 billion) in SCT revenue, accounting for a large share of the ₺1.01 trillion ($23.2 billion) collected from fuel, tobacco, and alcohol combined. The Treasury and Finance Ministry said the moderated tax increase supports the government’s 2026 inflation targets while remaining consistent with revenue projections in the central government budget.

  • Gap Growing Between EU’s Public-Health Ambitions, Economic Concerns

    Gap Growing Between EU’s Public-Health Ambitions, Economic Concerns

    The European Commission’s plan to overhaul the EU’s tobacco taxation directive has met resistance from numerous Member States, revealing deep divisions over how far and how fast the bloc should go in taxing nicotine products. The proposal, first unveiled on July 16 and discussed for the first time at the Ecofin Council in Luxembourg last week, would sharply raise minimum excise duties on cigarettes and extend taxation to new categories such as vaping and heated tobacco.

    Commissioner for Climate and Clean Growth Wopke Hoekstra defended the reform as long overdue. “Europe ranks among the highest in the world for the number of smokers,” he said. “Moreover, there are new products deliberately designed for young people, 15-year-olds, which create a new addiction to nicotine. We cannot allow the industry to reverse the narrative, spreading lies as it has already done with traditional cigarettes.”

    Under the Commission’s plan, the minimum duty on cigarettes would rise from 60% to 63% of the weighted average retail price (WAP) and from €90 to €215 per 1,000 pieces. Rolling tobacco would see its threshold climb from 50% to 62% of WAP and from €60 to €215 per kilo. The reform also introduces EU-wide minimum rates for heated tobacco and e-cigarettes, starting in 2028 at 45% of WAP or €88 per 1,000 pieces and increasing through 2032.

    While most governments support the goal of improving public health, at least 12 Member States voiced objections. Italy, Bulgaria, and Romania warned that higher taxes on traditional cigarettes could fuel illicit trade. “We have to examine the interaction between increased tax thresholds and the trafficking of illegal cigarettes,” said Italy’s economy minister Giancarlo Giorgetti.

    Croatia, Greece, Luxembourg, Malta, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary described the proposed thresholds as too high. Hungary fears for its cigarillo sector, while Luxembourg rejects the Commission’s plan for automatic adjustments based on purchasing power.

    Sweden and Finland objected to taxing snus, with Swedish finance minister Elisabeth Svantesson insisting that “taxes should reflect the degree of harm, not the product type.”

  • Portugal Expects $2B from Tobacco, Alcohol, Sugar Consumption 

    Portugal Expects $2B from Tobacco, Alcohol, Sugar Consumption 

    Portugal’s government expects to collect an additional €79 million from tobacco and alcohol taxes in 2026, driven by higher consumption, according to the proposed State Budget. Revenue from the Tobacco Tax (IT) is projected to rise 4.4%, or €71 million, to €1.7 billion, while the Tax on Alcohol, Alcoholic Beverages, and Drinks with Added Sugar (IABA) is expected to increase by €8 million, or 2.5%, reaching €328 million.

    Combined, the two levies are estimated to generate €2 billion, accounting for 5.3% of indirect tax revenue and just under 3% of total tax revenue. The budget notes that IABA-related state fiscal expenditure will rise 2.2% to €72.2 million, largely due to exemptions for “alcohol for therapeutic and sanitary purposes” and, to a lesser extent, non-alcoholic beverages. These exemptions are projected to represent 86.7% of IABA tax expenditures in 2026.

    By contrast, the tobacco tax is expected to generate revenue without incurring any tax expenditure, reflecting its role as a net contributor to the state budget. The government cites continued private consumption as the key driver behind the anticipated growth in tobacco and alcohol tax receipts.